Leaderboard

My ‘Original UCS Falcon, escaping from Docking Bay 327’ enshrined in a coffee table now complete.

Bought this beauty on Dec 16, 2017 and this afternoon it got sold on ebay for 1250 EUR

Items coming in and out of stock on Amazon https://www.amazon.com/LEGO-Star-Millennium-Falcon-75105/dp/B00WI0PJE2/ref=pd_lutyp_cxhsh_1_6?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=B00WI0PJE2&pd_rd_r=S47NGWJSYZP26AB8987A&pd_rd_w=FK8x5&pd_rd_wg=2NkDq&psc=1&refRID=S47NGWJSYZP26AB8987A https://www.amazon.com/LEGO-Minecraft-The-Village-21128/dp/B01CVGV68K/ref=pd_lutyp_cxhsh_1_2?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=B01CVGV68K&pd_rd_r=S47NGWJSYZP26AB8987A&pd_rd_w=FK8x5&pd_rd_wg=2NkDq&psc=1&refRID=S47NGWJSYZP26AB8987A https://www.amazon.com/LEGO-Creator-Expert-Holiday-Construction/dp/B01KOPHVDO/ref=pd_sim_21_4?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=B01KOPHVDO&pd_rd_r=8KC3CHPD8GG6G9TS6TBV&pd_rd_w=kioUu&pd_rd_wg=FPA1P&psc=1&refRID=8KC3CHPD8GG6G9TS6TBV https://www.amazon.com/LEGO-Minecraft-Jungle-House-21125/dp/B01AW1R0OU/ref=pd_sim_21_7?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=B01AW1R0OU&pd_rd_r=8KC3CHPD8GG6G9TS6TBV&pd_rd_w=kioUu&pd_rd_wg=FPA1P&psc=1&refRID=8KC3CHPD8GG6G9TS6TBV

Tipicol poor gramer and speling from a dodgy cellar.

Good: Buying my last two sets on 18 January 2017. Bad: Both were doctor Who's.

I´m waiting for the next person to reply to this thread saying they regret buying too many 75111´s off Bricklink.

Started with 52. I'm down to 30. Local Facebook sales have been a decent platform to move these on, granted I'm only making $5-$10 on each one.

Original Ideas submission:

$5 cheap enough for you? https://www.toysrus.com/product?productId=107531876

I sure hope you did all this right there and then before paying the guy ....

This could be the worst cycle we have seen they won't pick the tower or the SW one as they are against the rules and the shuttle is a lazy remake. Out of the other three the NF 15B is the only intresting one.

You´ll make more profit on that Mixel than on any Angry Birds set!

4 x 20p at the local charity shop.

Just got an Email from ebay UK, 20% off all purchases, maximum saving £75, minimum spend £20. Must be used before 6pm tonight. Code is PNY2018. Enjoy. Sent from my SM-G950F using Brickpicker Forum mobile app

The ship in the original design was better and looks a lot more detailed but with that likely more brittle and harder to build

Hmm seeing the trend i may just have to go hard on Starwars in 2018. Everyone else maybe to scared to come in ;P

I got Twelve Dr. Strange 76060 for $14.98. Eight at one target were at that price and in the other store they had them at regular price.... showed the receipt from previous store.... they matched the price.... so another 4 at $14.98

If only the sets were of similar size (right hand side is 2008 model)

Rounding up my sales numbers a few days early before the year closes. This was my first full year buying from Kmart. Half way through the year we found out we are moving, so I've spent the second half of the year paring back my inventory. I sold off about 2/3 of my inventory over the holidays through eBay. This was also my first foray into buying new sets. Most of my Lego sales on eBay are used items. I definitely had some lessons learned. Winners: 41178 Elves Dragon Sanctuary I picked up for $2.75 Losers: 75151 Clone Turbo Tank for $60 and 75157 Captain Rex AT-TE for $64 (luckily I just bought 1 of each, but I regret the points I used to get the price so low). Still sitting on these. Haven't tried to sell them. Note: MSRP noted below is Lego's MSRP (not Kmart's). SOLD INVENTORY eBay Gross Sales $2,229 Assumed 82% eBay Net (Shipping, Fees, Paypal) $1,828 Total KMT COGS $869 MSRP of KMT COGS $1,990 Average Discount KMT Legos 56% Return on Investment 110% Total Profit $958 REMAINING UNLISTED/UNSOLD INVENTORY Total KMT COGS $478 MSRP of KMT COGS $1,297 Average Discount KMT Legos 63% Now I just need someone to take my 2 fake Christmas trees off my hands. Craigslist and OfferUp have been silent. Thanks to all the helpful people on this thread. Hope everyone has a happy new year!

79002 Attack of the Wargs MIB Facebook local $40 cash now to get rid of Goblin King set and I'll be done with Hobbit/LotR...

Another tip is to put all items into the basket and use the coupon to pay for all of them in one go if they are BIN.

Has the buyer made any reference to leaving you a negative feedback if you don't comply? If so, ebay will remove that feedback (on request), as it is Feedback Extortion. Sometimes you can (cautiously) give a buyer just enough rope to hang themselves.

Nice to see someone who thinks like me

My suggestions: 1) He is clearly screwing you. He likely orders from Ebay hoping to get sellers unaccustomed to shipping to HI in hopes of getting the items free. Follow him so that if he ever decides to sell on ebay, you can screw him back Alternatively, let it go. It's far healthier for you, but I am somewhat childish and vindictive 2) Don't refund him. Don't communicate with him at all. He's already left you bad feedback so there's nothing to be gained. If you respond in the case, keep in mind that what you are doing is creating a record for the ebay rep when they review it. Ebay will probably make you refund him, but by waiting for Ebay to decide the case, you give it a bit of extra time for the package to arrive. Sorry! These things happen on Ebay from time to time, but the vast majority of Ebayers are good eggs.

Staples never disappoints.

Yup, just a little too late for our competition.

The info that came with my card says we should expect an email in early 2018 detailing the first promotion. can’t see em continuing to issue cards for 2018 purchases. Sounds like it’ll be available in other places soon so that would also support ending the black VIP cards at the end of 2017.

Don´t forget there is a Friends one still on sale in Europe and the Joker Mansion one. Or have rollercoasters replaced City helicopters?

Current Ideas Sets Available: 21306 - The Beatles Yellow Submarine 21307 - Caterham Seven 620R 21308 - Adventure Time 21309 - NASA Apollo Saturn V 21310 - Old Fishing Store 21312 - Women of NASA Coming Soon 21313 - Ship in a Bottle (2018) XXXXX - Voltron - Defender of the Universe (2018) XXXXX - Tron Legacy Light Cycle (2018) Current Review Cycle Third Submissions of 2017

Woolworths are running out their Lego sets at the moment Picked up the following at $14 a piece: 2 x 60150 Pizza Vans 1 x 41310 Heartlake Gift Delivery 2 x 41315 Heartlake Surf Shop 3 x 60151 Dragster Transporter

Yawn. Where are the topless Kylo and the thing with four boobs, you know, for completeness?

These are marked sold out everywhere near me. For $7 each I’ll take it. I don’t want to wait until they are $5 each next Christmas.

So it´s clear that SW is bossing it as a theme for poor purchasing decisions - except for the UCS Falcon. Interesting that not many people have mentioned Women of Nasa or S5 as great buys.

If it seems bad now wait until we see it appear as a re-release in 2h 2018

Inception is dangerous...

No

The only way I've won on Superheroes has been by accident. Buy at 60%+ off and then get lucky when something materializes.

LR Constitution Train : $194 FBA

I liked Padme Amidala.. !

So anyways, since I’ve sent you payment, when are you shipping’em? I took a day off from work on the 3rd of January so I wouldn’t miss the delivery. [emoji12]

We can discuss the many reasons why the UCS Sandcrawler underperforms, but I am wondering why an inferior set would hurt the UCS Sandcrawler's value. I would think it would help it.

That will likely not happen again. Raising interest rates even a little in this environment could crash the economy, and unemployment is bad enough as it is. Historically, interest rates and inflation averaged less than 2% a year for centuries. We are returning to those times now that the post-WWII economic boom times have wound down. People's wages, adjusted for inflation, have not increased since the 1970s. This is why so many people borrow just to keep up with the Joneses. Raising rates would risk a repeat of 2007-2008 all over again like when the teaser mortgage rates expired and the bigger ones kicked in.

If folks are really targeting the 4-5 year post-EOL timeframe as their ideal selling window, one thing to realize is that demand for most retired sets falls off a cliff once you hit the 3-year post-EOL mark. By that time, most buyers have moved on to other products and are focused on buying other sets. Prices may continue to climb, but it becomes increasingly difficult to move inventory. If we end up in a scenario where there are a lot of resellers targeting that same window, that supply combined with low demand will keep prices from rising and make it difficult to unload inventory.

Thanks. In actuality, the pictures from 8 years ago were not "deals of the century." Those were just the STANDARD deals back then. In today's market it would be the deal of the MILLENIUM. Sorry for the novels, but I try to convey my thoughts in a well thought out manner so as to avoid confusion. Communication is the number one reason for mistakes and misunderstandings in almost any field of life, and good communication reduces errors and conflicts dramatically especially with the wife/SO. Good communication keeps your feedback ratings high as well. In all honesty, I am just flat out MIND BLOWN, by what has happened in 8 years. I joined onto here, with minimal forum reading, all super enthusiastic to get back into Lego Resale. I ante'd back buying the Tumbler, as based on my 2004-2007 experience it would be a home run. I still believe it will be, but it will not be a home run by 2004-2007 standards. However, after 2 months on here, I quickly realized, that this is NOT the same as it was in 2007, and I cannot expect the same returns and appreciation as I had previously experienced. The market has changed significantly since 2007, and is changing RAPIDLY since 2012 and the startup of Brickpicker. I was simply attempting to provide a historical perspective, especially, for all the newbies out there who might think another 10179 is a possibility, because it is not. It is an enigma on the market, and will NEVER be recreated, and quite frankly the catalyst to the eventual fall of Lego Investing as being a HIGHLY lucrative market. It will always make money if you are smart, but we will never be able to recreate the previous gold rush days. If you came into this now expecting to hit the next 10179, you are in for world of disappointment.

What else would you like to discuss? There are no leaked images of new releases to get excited, nothing has retired unexpectedly or is showing any strange patterns (except for PS which is a given as it happens every year) and no sets are showing spectacular growth worth reporting on. If all else fails it´s bubble time!

One part of the problem is the insanely low interest rates offered by the banks. When people could get 3-4% interest on their savings, many were happy to just leave it there. But now that banks offer less than 1% interest, more and more people are looking at other ways to get a bit more out of their money. And investing in Lego suddenly becomes interesting for a lot of people. If you only get 0.7% interest offered by the bank, making just 5% profit (after costs) on Lego investment sounds already great. And because these new investors are already happy to take 5-10% of net profit after a few months of waiting, the prices will stagnate for a long time after a set retires. Until (hopefully) a new fad comes around causing many of these new Lego investors to jump ship and join the next opportunity that the media claims to offer mountains of gold.

I consider the horde to be the people who are buying 10+ of each exclusive. Buying 2-3 of an exclusive over time won't change the market but people filling containers certainly will. Most of the Exclusives are cool and ageless that's why they were making good money before, that didn't prevent retirements in the past though.

The biggest problem with lower growth rates, is the percentage of profits that Ebay/Amazon, PayPal and shipping soak up. For a cost basis of 100GBP, you have to sell somewhere about 120GBP just to break even. at a 20% growth rate, you therefore are lucky to wash your face after holding for year 1. So either you hold longer, hope for a better growth rate, or focus on your buy-in point.