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Showing content with the highest reputation on 09/26/2015 in all areas
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8 points
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Most of the ones that sold during the run up were to each other - Remember, so many seemed certain (during the hype) they were going to sell them for $1,000 at Christmas. This was not a popular set - and now (after the dip in price) some sellers are worried, and looking to get out. Until the actual end users buy them, things could be difficult. Overall, the market is absolutely flooded with sellers. I periodically re-visit my stash of unlisted aging sets (to check if they are reaching their price points). More than ever, it seems that many of the prices are going nowhere. As I am considering changing some of my own rules, others are certainly doing the same. Stagnant prices, more supply, other sellers dumping supply - it isn't good.5 points
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Tonight a picked up a used complete w/ boxes lot with 10225 - UCS R2-D2, 9493 - X-Wing, & 9492 - Tie Fighter for $380 shipped on EBay. Looks like a real nice lot and well kept by a collector. This way I won't be torn about opening my personal copies and I can offload them and cover most of the cost with profit.3 points
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3 points
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There have been a lot of changes since LEGO almost went bankrupt in the early 2000s: licensed sets became the norm, better designs started coming into production andLEGO became the world’s largest toy manufacturer. All this changes and subsequent success created a new breed of investing: buying sets and holding after their retirement date. For years, this alternative market went unnoticed, propping up the prices of popular sets such as the 10179 Millenium Falcon. As expected, however, higher returns attracted new investors, inherently changing the way the secondary market behaved. In this new era, with many more participants and higher price pressure, it is extremely easy for newer investors to get burnt out, make mistakes or even completely forget about their LEGO investing hobby (or business). For this reason, I decided to write this short article with some investment tips and strategies that can help the newer participants enjoy and make money from their favorite toy brand. Golden Rule: Set your long term goals LEGO investing is a lot like more traditional financial planning. If you don’t take the time to set some objectives, there will be no way to completely gauge success or even to properly develop an investment strategy. For that reason, the first step will be to figure out what exactly you are trying to achieve: Do you see LEGO investing as a key part of your investment portfolio or more as a side business/hobby for extra cash? To me, this is the most important question. Someone willing to seriously put some money into LEGO for the long term will need to consider a vastly larger number of factors than someone who is just willing to put in a small percentage of their funds. Insurance, proper storage and fund allocation take a more important role in the case of the former. In the case you see this more as an online business, a good inventory tracking system, shipping supplies and time will be the main considerations. Once you have determined you long-term strategy, it is important to figure out which types of sets you will be investing in. To me, focusing on large LEGO exclusives is the “safer” way to lock in a pretty decent return in the long term. While the capital investment and storage space required to invest in these sets is significantly higher/larger than the average, most of them have also produced some of the most consistent and positive returns in the investment market. It is easy to see why. We are talking about iconicand highly detailed sets, from both licensed and unlicensed themes, that the adult collector with a higher disposable income is very attracted to. That’s definitely the most attractive target market when investing in LEGO sets. Furthermore, the higher price point and space requirements limit the amount of sets that can be hoarded by the average investor, thus reducing supply in the long term. While some people may be able to spend several thousand dollars and dedicate a whole room to store those dozens of Death Stars, most people struggle with at least one of those two key considerations. This is not to say investing in smaller sets or even figures makes no sense. We all know that sometimes sets like the X-Wing 9493 produce outstanding percentage returns for one reason or another, so it is completely understandable for investor to consider these for investment. Also, non-exclusives get the advantage when it comes to acquiring them at significant discounts given LEGO’s policy of not allowing discounts on exclusives. The problem with these sets, in my opinion, is that it is so much harder to pick winners and avoid purchasing the duds. Does Home One ring a bell? Setting up an strategy After deciding which blend of sets you will be pursuing, it is time to set up a buying strategy. I think it is extremely helpful to figure out how many copies of a particular set you would like to have before retirement, and making periodic purchases to make sure you meet that goal. As an example, you could decide that you will purchase one Palace Cinema each month to make sure you get to your desired goal of 10 before retirement. Making sure you stick to your strategy will make it easier for you to achieve your minimum goal and avoid having to scramble to get multiple quantities when the set starts disappearing from the market. How many times have you read someone mentioning that they would like to have a couple more of a particular set when it is already too late? Don’t make that mistake yourself! If by the time a set starts showing signs of retirement you already have your minimum quantity, then whatever you are able to acquire after that will be just an extra source of happiness instead of stress. Of course, your strategy can be flexible enough to make sure that you are taking advantage of potential deals or discounts. For example, LEGO will be offering double VIP points in early October and it might make sense to hold this month’s purchases until then. Having said that, I recommend making this kind of behavior an exception rather than the norm; It just does not make sense to completely miss out of a set that ends up appreciating more than 50% because you waited a couple weeks to save 10%. Core-Satellite Approach Just like in the stock market, you can insert a little variety into your investing life by following the core-satellite approach. For example, let’s assume you have an investing budget of $1000 per month. You could divide this into a core fund of $800 that you will allocate to long term, safer investments (exclusives, Ideas sets or whatever you really want to add to your portfolio and keep for the long haul), while keeping the remaining $200 for riskier bets. You think Raptor Escape will be a Zombies 2.0? You can throw your money into some of those; want to try and flip some Wall-E sets before they are available? That works too! By dividing your investments in this manner you pretty much guarantee you’ll invest the $800 every month, while still having some money to test your set-picking prowess. This leads nicely into my last point. Personally, I believe that investing in LEGO should be not only profitable, but fun as well. It is easy to get inpatient or even bored when all you are doing is hoarding sets and not making any money out of it. While this is an essential part of any investment, I find that people should always try to keep things interesting and fun by trying to flip sets, sell minifigures or even re-selling used sets. Any of these activities will generate some extra income and make you feel a little more excited, therefore avoiding falling into a routine that can get boring over time. Obviously, these tips will not work for everyone. Find what works for you, think about your goals and stick to an strategy and you will be in the path of having a pretty healthy alternative income stream in the long run. Hope you enjoyed this article, thanks for reading!2 points
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I quick flipped a winter village market that I got for $78 on eBay a couple days back to a regular buyer of mine for $125 lol2 points
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Why? So they can sell a new toy. Why did they replace Darth Maul' infiltrator a year later? Same reason.2 points
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You can buy from me--always a shipping box, 90% of the time a brand new box, appropriate packing, and a handwritten "thank you." We don't all suck, but the one's who do make the rest of us look really good.2 points
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I've been selling/flipping in some form since the mid 90's and have seen many "hot" products come and go. Either adapt with the changes or get out. There is no third direction. Anyone who thinks otherwise is only fooling themselves. Be it tulip bulbs, beanie babies, baseball cards, gold/silver, real estate...Lego is no different.2 points
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treasure is still everywhere, you need only get your head out of the past and look.2 points
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Maybe because in the U.S. they get them for 50% off with a coupon that they use to double the value of another coupon which decreases the price of ALL purchases while they can additionally add their bonus points and membership special deals and if the box has got a bruise they get it for free or sue the seller. And in most parts of Europe on the other hand we can be happy for double VIP points and a promominifig (if we get the cool one... obviously UK gets a lot of great deals so I'm not sure if I want to count you to Europe anymore when it comes to LEGO ^.^...) also I've never heard of anything like comic-con where they have awesome minifigs sometimes (always?) (too much frustration after I've been waiting for weeks for the 3 for 2 deal in the netherlands...and still nothing! :-( ) Would also be glad to see somebody post a pic ;-) I don't expect too much of the new box art though since I never really have been that much into the box art...2 points
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Hey Everyone, I will be starting a live stream in about 40 mins. I will be building the 6973 - Deep Freeze Defender from the Ice Planet theme. Come on over and hang out. twitch.tv/silburned2 points
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I think I laughed a little too loudly at that. But I honestly think $22 Exos are good.2 points
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I think you might be confused, I think what resellers want is for the DS to retire and another one NOT be made.1 point
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Exactly. Aside from resellers who would be pissed, collectors and kids would go wild and throw money at a new death star. Look at people going crazy over the new MF......which is essentially that same as the last one.1 point
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It was a J.O.K.E. but it is confirmed they are redoing Burj Khalifa at slightly bigger scale so anything can happen regarding the other sets.1 point
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The Brick Fan website is reporting that the October x2 VIP points has been extended from Oct 1-14 which would be nice because the Train promo starts on the 13th and would be nice to get both. Will wait and see though for the official announcement. source http://www.thebrickfan.com/lego-october-2015-double-vip-points-extended/1 point
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Perhaps what happened with this set is that people because it was around for 2.5 years and a well received set, the non technic investment crowd got in, taking advantage of every discount possible. Those who got it 40% off were still able to double their money, which is fine. Look at 42000 grand prix racer, however, and the story is different. In the US it got a late launch and was available for less than 2 years so the price shot up on EOL as it was quite scarce and probably because some investors missed out (the price has now fallen a little). In Europe you can stil find it easily as we got the full 2 year schedule and it was a typical supermarket / mainstream set hard not to find. They could be had for as much as 60% off so it is no wonder that now it is still struggling to sell even for RRP. If 42025 cargo plane has retired by Jan 16 then it will be a repeat of grand prix racer, but if it sticks around another year then it will not be a good performer.1 point
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^ I find that statement hard to believe . The fact that a company will keep producing a set indefinitely based on resellers' buying habits is a far fetched idea IMO .1 point
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^ this. Lego isn't stupid. If you continue to buy the DS, they will continue to make them. Stop buying; reduce their profit margin because of idle merchandise and, only then, will they stop and go to another line that is more profitable. You DS horders make it to easy for them1 point
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So, to summarize, the market for new Unimogs at $300 are people that: - Are collectors / completionists (still want 8110 regardless of 42043), and - Don't mind the look of the Unimog, and - Have money, and - Are lazy / insane Small market, I think.1 point
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At least you can't recall what the world was like 5 years ago - Treasure was everywhere, with little if any competition.1 point
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The Ray Gun, what every decent hardworking spaceman should carry because you never know what terror from outer space will arise across a forbidden planet. Smith and Wesson A80 Smith and Wesson A82 Russian Tokarev TT-34 Atomiser Stechkin Laser pistol, circa 1956 Junebug 7500kW Mercury Mk. 2 Ray Gun G-28 Plasma Ray ZapRay 90001 point
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After seeing the higher resolution pictures of this set, along with the initial pictures of 40139 Gingerbread House, I can't help but wonder what happened with the main winter village release this year. Both of these freebie sets have candy all over them, and it certainly seems like they would have paired well with a candy/sweet shop, which was heavily rumored before the toy shop re-release was confirmed. Makes me think that perhaps the original plan was to have a candy/sweet shop this year, but those plans were changed because 1) design resources were shifted to TFA stuff or 2) TLG made the conscious decision to bring back the toy shop, feeling that it would be a better set to follow up and capitalize upon the popularity of Santa's Workshop.1 point
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We service VWs everyday and they are way overrated. Sorry to any fans out there. German cars are generally overrated IMO. I've had my share of BMWs and Mercedes and they are pricey and unreliable.1 point
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The old UCS sets are not a problem for LEGO. Their values help justify current new prices. That being said, the true problem that LEGO has is with resellers flipping in production sets. Retired sets are not their focus. Making money is and remaking old classics is an easy way to make money.1 point
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Hmmm.. 1 day overlap with both promotions where many people will purchase a ton of sets (likely hitting purchasing limits) in separate transactions... /insert Admiral Ackbar1 point
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Since some newer members or people who have missed out on some older sets don't grasp the ramifications of this set. Instead thinking, yes, I welcome a 10179 (MF), 10181 (ET), 10189 (TAJ) or 10196 (GC) 'cause I don't have one. There's absolutely nothing wrong in wanting a second chance to purchase them. Absolutely! But think for a minute what if Lego were to release a new GE or HH, TH or BTTF (or any other set that you have invested in) in a couple of years? If you think it doesn't or won't affect you, I think you're kidding yourself. Do you think the buyers of the sets you've decided to bank on or at the very least simply purchase & build will want to pay top dollar later for that set? I think you're sadly mistaken. Every buyer will have in the back of their mind "I'll just wait for the re-release." This release devalues every other set whether you think so or not. I'm not saying don't buy it. People will buy it. I will not be buying it.1 point
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The Sandcrawler remake is fine. It's a much improved version over the old set. I expect LEGO to produce quality products like that. The Red 5 wasn't needed because the 7191 was an iconic set, but I could live with it. The Toy Shop is laziness in my opinion, or an experiment. As I have stated before, LEGO needs to be careful here. Scaring off the collectors and resellers with exact duplicates will damage the secondary market, which will in turn damage the primary market. Do you really think it's a coincidence that The LEGO Group's profits started increasing at the same time eBay's growth was exploding? When people realized a LEGO set was a valuable collectible, the company's profits skyrocketed. It might take some time, but corporate profits will be hurt if LEGO continues down this path.1 point
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I do not want to throw oil on the fire here. But my guess and hunch is the following: All Star Wars sets without the Disney Logo will have either a new box design or will retire by the end of the year once the movie is out. That also would explain the many OOS and small restocks we see every time. They are stalling till December. Again... this is just a hunch/guess/gamble from me. No proof. Just my common sense. You can thank or burn me later.1 point
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Just finished my third modular and second via bricklink. Spent a hair over $400 on it. Could have been cheaper but I stayed pretty true to the original except for the third floor windows. The front door, dark blue posts next to the doors, blue shirt minifig, and skis over the door were the priciest. I did end up with some extra doors so I can sell them to get it under $400... or do another one...1 point
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built the Temple of Airjitzu with my sons this weekend. Two word: frickin' beautiful! It was really a lot of fun - but now I don't want them to touch it1 point
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I finished a 75054 AT-AT yesterday. I've wanted an AT-AT since I was a kid ogling the Sears Christmas catalog. I watched other Lego iterations come and go, but this fulfilled a life-long quest for me. Now it's going to accompany me to my office, sit on a filing cabinet, and get hijacked by pirate zombies.1 point
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my son and i completed Arkham Asylum Breakout yesterday. That building will def be part of my Halloween theme! just nee to make the gate longer.1 point