Leaderboard

I think there is too much analysis going on here. It's really not that complicated. LEGO has a production plan for every set. Most follow that plan within a couple of months of the original dates. If it is a more popular set like the HH, it will sell out before the original date was reached. If it is an unpopular set, it could last well past the original retirement date. The unpopular and poor selling sets will see "Retiring Soon" notices or possible discounts. That being said, sometimes there are outliers in the system...Sets that either sell very, very well and production runs are extended or on the negative side, sets that sell poorly and are removed early. There are also sets that have production issues in which some components of the set...bricks...instructions...boxes...make it too costly to continue production. Could LEGO be messing with EOL dates? Absolutely. But most sets will continue their normal production lives for the reasons I mentioned above.

A HUGE THANK YOU TO GREGPJ FOR FIXING THE PAYPAL SHIPPING ISSUE. IT WAS QUICK AND PAINLESS BUT FRESH EYES AND A FRESH MIND PREVAILED!!!!!! REALLY PAYPAL SUPPORT DIDN'T EVEN UNDERSTAND THE QUESTION WITH GREAT SCREENSHOTS. GREGPJ PICKED UP THAT THE ISSUE MAY BE THAT THE TRANSACTIONS WERE BEING SENT AS PERSONAL PAYMENTS AND NOT GOODS. I UPDATED THAT CALL AND DID A TEST TRANSACTION BETWEEN ED AND MYSELF AND WHAMMO! YOU CAN SEE IN THE IMAGE BELOW THAT THE LINKS ARE THERE TO DO SHIPPING. I HOPE THIS SOLVES THE ISSUE FOR EVERYONE. THANKS GREGPJ!!!!!!! These links will probably only show up for new transactions. I am pretty sure it won't fix previous ones.

CT have arrived! All packed in either factory cases of 2 or large WM boxes of 3

When they walk into the lego store and see stacks of Exo Suits......

This set is just like RI in that it has very little risk to it. Its cheaply priced, is pretty cool and was not available like a lot of regularly produced mainstream sets. It was only available through LEGO and some dot coms. It will have been out for a short time compared to other sets as well. Sure its stacked in LEGO stores right now. That will change as usual.

Let me explain so you can understand...... When you have a family with kids, it's damn expensive. Not that I'm complaining, it's just very, very expensive. You don't have a bunch of diposable income to invest. When you do, it's really not that much and the investing and then waiting for profit is slow.....very slow. Especially if you are new to this as I am (I am only like 8-9 months in). Also, when your wife sees that you are using the disposable income to buy Lego, even if you explain that you are going to make money, she won't be fully convinced until you start raking in some money. For someone like me who is new and the sets I have are not quite close to retirement or some that are, it will take a long time for me to see any profit. If you have been playing this investing game for a while like you have, you have had time to build up your portfolio and money and can make a convicing argument to your girlfriend that this is a great side business you are doing. Plus, you don't have kids. If I didn't have kids and I could invest all that I wanted, I am sure that I could have already convinced my wife that this is a great side business that is making extra money for the family. But that hasn't happened yet and I am sure it will but it is going to take some time. I can't blame wives and/or husbands that are skeptical. I would be too and wouldn't really believe it until I saw some cash start rolling in.

I tried to look at it in a different way... how many modulars were available in total during a year: 2007: 2 (MS CC) 2008: 3 (MS CC GG) 2009: 4 (MS CC GG FB) 2010: 3 (GG FB GE) 2011: 3 (FB GE PS) 2012: 4 (FB GE PS TH) 2013: 5 (FB GE PS TH PC) 2014: 5 (GE PS TH PC PR) 2015: 4 (PS PC PR DO) Hope this helps. p.s. Are there any rumours for a new modular coming out in the fall? This would make things even more interesting.

I'd believe their obvious message to consumers is simply that they are giving everyone who wants one at retail price advance notice. It will be a very short run for a lego set, and inline with other non licensed ideas sets.

Definitely wasn't very cryptic. LEGO clearly could use a lesson in riddles.

Yes it is. I was able to compare them in a toy shop:

No, this is trolling.

He'll let it slide this time, next time.... Sent from my HTC6525LVW using Brickpicker mobile app

Whats happening lego people? I found this site On Sunday, lost all semblance of reason becuase I read it until 3 am (7am start time at work) every night since and just blew my 1st thousand on legos to invest in. This is the place of my people. I love my job, but I LOVE hunting down diamonds, and turning a profit. Its the rush. Just wanted to thank everyone for contributing to this awesome site. ITs definitley led me to make some purchases, and I hope that I can grow it readily. ...So far, I found 3 sets of series 2 mixles, 3 sets of series 3, 2 t1s, 1 mini, 1 DGB, 1 Blocktober set, 4 Ecto-1s, 4 Exo-suits, 4 treehouses, and a few Star wars mins to play with. The plan is to diversify (any good investor does that right?) and build a few racks, and hold long on the bigger sets. Looking to get into a few sea cows, SOH, TB, , then amass mixle sets, t1s, star wars, and idea sets for the holiday season. How do you all diversify your collection?

I think you might be confused. Thread titles are what the thread isn't about. For example, all modular EOL speculation can be found in the Palace Cinema thread and all local Target clearance finds and Walmart Creative Tower order statuses are in the Daily Deals thread.

Target clearance... 20 joker steam rollers at $35/each. 6 x-men sentinels at $35/each. 4 metal beards at $25/each. My tax rate is 5.5%, so the redcard basically negates tax. I left several sets that were also marked down. Lots of agents, secret police dropship, hobbit lake town, and most of the new turtles sets. Go to your Targets, people!

Here are the ranks in order from left to right in the picture and amount of posts required to level up in the list below. Brickpicker: 0 Brick Broker: 100 Brick Troller: 250 Brickulator: 500 Brick Advisor: 750 Brick Analyst: 1,000 Brick Manager: 1,500 Brick Trader: 3,000 Brickvestor: 5,000 Chief Brick Officer: 7,500 Chairman of the Brick: 10,000

I think that the "chaos" which is coming (according to Ed Mack) is about amazon and other online retailers which will not be allowed anymore to make their usual discounts on lego sets. And if amazon do not agree, they will no receive anymore lego sets. But you'll still be able to buy some sets online on toys'r us for example, but at RRP. I think that the time when we were able to get some sets with 30% off on amazon is behind us. I have no proof, I just see what's going on in my country on amazon: no more discounts on the new sets (for the 2015 sets), no more modulars available on amazon (since a while), fewer and fewer different sets on amazon (more can be found on the LEGO Shop at Home). RRP everywhere, in online and B&M shops ? Man, THAT would be a real "chaos".

So we started out with some unfounded speculation that the PC could retire early, which spawned a bunch of discussion about that. And now the resulting increase in posts is being cited as evidence that something may be afoot with this set. Circular logic at its best.

You are right. That is a very good deal. I have not seen any discounts on this set yet.

My problem is that I want to reinvest every dime I make and my inventory perpetually grows. The wife isn't crazy about that strategy, but it will pay off long-term. I just need her to see that.

You're remembering incorrectly. TH didn't sell out until a few days into the Oct. double VIP. It was definitely available for purchase from LEGO Shop at Home North America on Oct. 1.

To all the QFLLs...........bitter much?

There

Thanks for the work on updating the list guys. I'll take a look at home tonight and see if I can make some posts of the stats.

I know I can he bold and abrasive at times. And I never want to be totally disrespectful but really?.... Are you trolling. Like honestly. Why would you return a set that you could sell right now for much more then you paid and make a profit? I honestly don't think any response you could propose would be valid or make any sense. Or why not offer it to people here.

'Not undercutting' talk is too close to collusion talk. You just gotta wait for the knuckleheads happy to make $5 a set to sell first. I'm watching it play out now with the helicarriers on ebay.

About your marriage or your remaining ct's? :p

Darth Vader music played in my head as I read your response.

Yes but beware, it's dangerous. You won't get my code !

That must have been an interesting ride back on the bike

Couldn't help myself today:

I guess I meant that positive comment from just registered reddit user might not bear much weight, or could be even considered suspicious. You would probably have to troll in Beyonce subreddit for a bit, to get some karma

True but they seem to have sold a lot of the series 1 minifigs and are reusing some of the molds for the second CMF series.

Wouldn't that require to be a registered user on reddit?

I, too, picked up a couple of MechDragons today. So much for never owning a Ninjago set! LOL At 2.6/cents a part, it's a great deal. Good to know you've been moving them at $40 on CL. I should have probably picked up the others then. I ran a quick estimate on BL, and got about $75 as part out value. Not a bad deal at all. As for me, here's what I picked up today: 2x MechDragon 2x Anakin's Jedi Starfighter polybag (BOGO 40%) 1x 79105 TMNT Baxter Robot Rampage (I had no idea this was retired, with a RRP of $40!) - $20 With $30 in Rewards, plus a $5 off coupon, plus 10% TRU CC day, but the BOGO 40% on SW sets, I got out of there for $30.

Got 2 Pet Shops and 2 Palace Cinemas at the Lego Store at Annapolis Mall. Mint Boxes

I think it's a great deal! any discount on that set is good in my opinion and I was very excited to get mine for 20% off at tru last year so great find!

I bought a Ghostbusters Ecto-1 for $41 shipped, no tax off of ebay. Think I got a pretty darn good deal.

I hear you brother. Damn expensive in both time and money.

I am just speculating here, but I think the "chaos" is due to the mass retirement (though not official yet in the U.S.) we are in the midst of since last fall. With LEGO producing more sets each year it was bound to catch up and we are likely to see more of this mass retirement as LEGO keeps cranking out the new sets so quickly. Production capacity limits how many sets they can keep in the supply chain.

Alright you've convinced me to stop by after work and scan a few boxes!

Price has really jumped on the 1st edition sealed sets. $4.5k. Nice.

If you look long enough, you can find claims about everything retiring soon. Substantiated claims? Hardly... In case of PC, there are only very weak indications so far. It was ocasionally sold out here and there. Nothing unusual, but if you want, you can conclude all kind of things from that. Add to that how TH went EOL earlier than assumed (showing that early EOL for modulars is precedented), and that TH as well as PC are the 2 modulars designed by Astrid, the indication seems clear. "Coincidence? I don't think so!!!" Look at when modulars retired: CC: 2007 - 2009 (2) GG: 2008 - 2010 (2) FB: 2009 - 2013 (4) GE: 2010 - 2014 (4) PS: 2011 - >=2015 (>=4) TH: 2012 - 2014 (2) PC: 2013 - >=2015 (>=2) So basically, the early modulars retired after 2 years, later modulars (minus TH) after 4. If PC would be another TH case, it would retire some time towards the end of 2015. And PS doesn't have an exceptionally long run so far. As long as it retires this year, it's within the expected range.

RIs and rovers for everyone!!!!!

Trolling is the correct answer

Word the Death Star lives

I ordered one today. Told my wife I was going to quick flip it (haha, totally going to build it )

You don't need this. You need 3 of them hanging from the ceiling blasting away at each other.

yea, mine too, federal gubberment, I think the rule is "if you can't fit it in your briefcase you're not allowed to take it home with you"... unless maybe you stay past 3pm on a Friday afternoon when there's no one else around to take notice... & after putting in a full day since 10am it's not like anyone would ever really stay that late! ;-)