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I guess I'll never understand the purpose of making random, unsubstantiated claims regarding where a particular set is in its production cycle.

I have a Lego dream today! I have a dream that one day, i will find this shelf! I found this picture today and it was like a dream vision! Just had to share it

From my sales history your logic is sound. $150-200 sets sell very well even after retirement or even while doing the dance. Even with a modest bump of 75-100 a collector can still buy the set for $225-300. $300+ sets are a big chunk of change and even if it sees a good bump of $125-150 and goes to $450ish you don't always have the volume of buyers at that level. To put it in perspective as a whole, R2, ToO, AA, HH, TH (all 160-200 range) have sold faster and in way higher quantity than a $400 SSD does for $700. You just loose a big amount of customer base with that much cash to spend once you hit $500+ aftermarket sets. They can still be good sets but you do have to figure your investing budget out a little more on these larger sets and plan longer hold times and larger chunks of real estate in storage.

Available at amazon.de for 30.48

Maybe they designed it to be played with. ;)

legodelorean here is my thoughts responding to you Well as I prefaced I am only speculationg. Of course what is this thread called? Speculation? If it was facts only required I guess this forum would not be needed. Here is my take on things for the EEE: All of it is from memory and therefore subject to being not 100% accurate but I have provided links: - Recently the EEE went to sold out in Europe http://shop.lego.com/en-GB/Maersk-Line-Triple-E-10241 - Recently someone (not me) in Europe contacted Lego LEGO Shop at Home in Europe and they sent them an email confirming it is not coming back he posted (see EEE thread for text) http://community.brickpicker.com/topic/5924-10241-maersk-triple-e/?p=412876 - Recently someone else in Europe got a similar response from Lego LEGO Shop at Home in Europe (see EEE thread for message) http://community.brickpicker.com/topic/5924-10241-maersk-triple-e/?p=415110 - I thought someone in the last 6-12 months said Maersk timelines can possibly go shorter than other sets based on history brickset shows Maersk Train 10219 at about 19 months in US and maersk ship 10155 about 7 months in US - So for me I said I have no idea but here is my thoughts I am not all on fire about this set. I am not saying it is going away. I am saying I am guessing. This is a speculation thread. I have 6 and may want to get 3 or 4 more if I can but am not that worked up about it. If you are wanting to have one I'd suggest to try to get one soon to be safe but who knows it could be here another year. One good thing to look at is from the past Lego Europe LEGO Shop at Home sale. (forget when it was late last year?) What is left that was discounted and has not gone to retirement? I think for sure EEE and SOH. Almost every other one has gone away from what I remember. - In the case of Red 5, I was not the only one commenting. Ed Mack basically said he has no idea if it is retiring or not but he also said he suggested if you want one you should consider going ahead and getting it. Likewise I have no idea if it is going or not but I feel safer with where I am at now than I did two months ago. I hope this helps you in your decision. thanks, Trek

All very logical, but I think a short production run + high price point for SOH = little hoarding. The comparison to modulars is interesting: Some facts to chew on: 1. There have been five advanced model Statue of Liberty (2000), Eiffel Tower (2007), Taj Mahal (2008), Tower Bridge (2010), SOH (2013). Five since 2000, but roughly one every two years. 2. How many modulars have there been, and how often are they released? 9 modulars total, one per year since 2007. 3. Sets with a lower price point typically have higher production runs. I would guess there are many more sets of each recent modulars produced than SOHs (as of today). Add this all together and I think it's safe to assume there are many fewer SOHs than any of the modular sets. I agree there's a demand component this completely glosses over, but in recent past, it seems like the sets with lower production runs have determined the fastest climbers - see Town Hall - unlike the most popular sellers (see Grand Emporium). That's why I think SOH will grow quickly if it retires soon, and have a much higher ceiling than any modular.

Or, for the same price, you could have bought 7 sets of Series 1 Mixels, and sold them at $120 per, leaving you with about about $280 profit, and only needing about the space of one SOH. Just sayin'....

I would like to add what I consider this very important piece of data: # of unique Lego sets introduced by year 2015: 381(announced to date) 2014: 719 2013: 675 2012: 689 2011: 593 2010: 514 2009: 472 2008: 429 To a discerning investor, this is pretty important info. Lego has some flexibility in infrastructure, and automation has made it easier to produce a larger variety of sets, but there's a limit to this efficiency without large, additional capital investment. Prior precedent for EOL may or may not be followed in the future. To me, its clear that increasing set numbers from TLG mean that we may see shorter product lifespans for some of their introductions from the last few years. I think a careful study of sets from 2012-2014 which have a large number of unique parts, large boxes (note: last 2 modulars are in smaller box sizes), and relatively slow sales may reveal candidates for EOL that aren't necessarily on the radar at the moment. As always, YMMV.

Please remain on-topic about the set. Personally, I'm happy the Ewoks were in just 1 movie and I'm an original trilogy snob. However, I loved the Ewok scenes as a kid as did most children of that era.

Just once, before they die, bring AC/DC to the Superbowl half-time show.

I'm a Broncos fan but still thought this was funny as hell

Nice! Well... the good news is... the lego store still has shelves filled like this. Just different sets and new opportunities.

I couldn

Seems like lately in this thread and others, there is a lot of talking without much being said.

You do not have time anymore these days. Lately it is more about choices. Which sets do I see as good investments and buy my quantities. I have given up on trying to buy them all. Almost impossible for me.

What happened to the Red 5 panic bus you were driving?

I did not know Tabbyboy had his own online tv-show!

Typical government contract bungle.

https://ideas.lego.com/projects/49609 Lego Ideas set from 2013.

I can already hear secondary market buyers complaining about getting only 1 TIE (instead of 3) in a box they paid $500 for. That boxart is misleading. ETA: Is that even a real concept art ? That Yoda on the top is not for this year. My money is on fanart

The latest Ep (Call to Action) is awesome. Prob the best ep to-date. No direct spoilers from me but I will type "Imperial March" !

I thought my GED would get me nowhere, but I found BrickPicker.

I think Niko drop shipped that play call down to the Seahawks sideline.

She was hired as distraction while Katy Perry changed costumes for the next songs

Agreed.......take your chances and let Lynch try to bang it in from the 1. Worst play call in the history of the Superbowl probably.

Moving day. Next time I'm hiring someone.

Couple more pictures showed up at Hoth Bricks.

I have a 46S4 ordered from LEGO Shop at Home. Technically a set cannot be produced for more than 10 years as their own packing code "system" would have to be changed as they only have 1 digit for the year (sort of a Y2K time bomb). The packing codes are important for product recalls so they must be unique. Since 10188 came out in 2008 the last packing code we will see ever see is possibly 50S7 or 50R7 for North America....Yaaayyyy under 3 years to go!

this guy is up to the challenge!

Rumored Minifigures Series SW, probably will be available at the movie release:

Or they'll buy up all the SOHs, watch them go EOL in a few months, cash in for billions*, and make a lot of people feel silly! *All figures estimated.

TH well over 1K. The HH will be close to crossing over.

Wish you would have asked this question yesterday. There were about 8 of these sets on the floor at Legoland California yesterday. I could have checked them quickly. As soon as I get back there, I'll check.

Dang it. I have a snow day today... From my understanding, most sets less than $100 retire in two years, but larger sets like exclusives retire after three or more years.

AA and EEE ??? I believe Lego let the standards go. No more logic in them.

While I don't disagree that it is better to not put bad ideas out there - I find it hard to separate these statements of potential danger from many others. If it is all about the common good - We should never discuss what might cause the market to crumble - since it might send people into a selling panic. We should never state that any set is a winner or loser - since it will effect the way people buy and sell. And most importantly - We should never say that someone throws, runs, punches, or buys LEGO like a girl.

Liquidation could begin as early as Thursday: http://www.thestar.com/business/2015/01/30/target-canada-liquidation-to-begin-soon.html

Almost as if there is an evil force behind it...

And it gets even cheaper: toysrus.de has them for 29.98

One listing on eBay is $246 next one is $260 and it look like someone sold one for $249.99 Hopefully up up and up!

Definitely agree with others who hold the opinion that this is a niche set. Absolutely, that said the question is what niche? Well, of course it`s in the AFOL market given the category and price tag. That means at least 2 things, 1 it`s over the majority of buyer`s heads, but also keep in mind that the target group is the people with more money. The people who want the Triple E will pay for it, if that means $400, $500, etc. down the round, done. It`s not going to be a issue of price if you find the buyer. You`re going have more difficulty finding a buyer, but when you do the big bucks will be rolling in. Backing this I`d say, look at who would buy this. Someone that wants a great display. Corporate office display perhaps? The one I have built is absolutely gorgeous. I have no complaints (ok, maybe less stickers, printing preferred). Those are a buyers with lots of cash, or at the very least willing to spend it. So ya, your market is a niche, but look at custom motor bikes or tailored suits and tell me there is no money to be made. Sure you have to go about it quite a bit differently then you would selling hotdogs or other heavily desired items, but there is lots of dough to cash in on if you go about it the right way. Would I buy 50? No, I don`t have unlimited cashflow, 99% of us don`t, I`d diversify before I do that, it`s the smart play, but would I buy at least a few or several? You bet. I can`t comment on retirement for this bad boy, it`s only been a year, but my feeling is that it will likely be much shorter than say a Modular or the Tower Bridge, should be a given, again because of the niche market.

Keeps getting better :)

at least there was an over under for how many times "deflated balls" would be said

Last time we moved we hired someone to move the big stuff. Best decision ever... All who came to help appreciated it too.

This ship has great appeal to lego city collectors. It makes for a realistic harbour scene. It will be a long long while before any shipping firm makes anything significantly larger than triple e, as this class of super container ships has reached the limit of several key infrastructure around the world.

Which roles ? The girl minifig is holding a ring. How do you know she is not giving it to the boy fig (instead of receiving it from him ) ?

I love finding enough change in a bulk lot to double my investment without selling a thing.