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Base plates are the new exclusives. That is all.

I personally will not regret selling anything. Only thing I have regretted selling was Pokemon Base, Jungle, Fossil, and Rocket booster boxes. Bought thousands after they tanked for $16 per and wholesaled them at $150+ shipping per 6 box case. They are all $300+ per box now On the flip side of that 1999 SP Authentic Football which was once $250-300 per box is $40 a box now. Had 200+ of those at one time as moved when they were getting under $200. Had over 250 Dumbledore's office back in 2003 that I paid $20 for. Sold in the 40-50 range back then. BP value is $130 now. Had pretty much 100 minimum of all the HP sets from back the 2002 line. There was lots of other sets bought on that deal as well that aren't really much higher for holding 12 years. Point is no one knows where these values will go in 5-10 years. I don't think all these sets will go 3x-5x. Even if they do by that point there sales rates are much slower than they were when they were back at 2x and more relevant in people's minds. People's attention spans towards sets are very short. There will always be people who do want to pay the big $$$ for the older retired sets but the market is much smaller. As mentioned before I sell them in stages that way if they don't the ones left for long term are paid for anyways. Just like having the right sets in your inventory , timing and making some early profits when they are hot also helps.

I think we all know that feeling very well. Buy some DS's they said, it will be retiring any day they said.

Flip of the week? I flipped some Hobbit sets I found on shelves early in November much like people are doing w princess/friends now. I had a battle of five armies auction that just relisted, I jacked it up to $199 as a place holder until I could clean up my auctions. It just sold, she paid, feedback of 270, not international I'll ship tomorrow Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Brickpicker mobile app

You know it's a real chaos when even baseplates retire...

For the Simpsons line, there's a Kwik-E-Mart entry added to the brickset database for 2015. No photos yet, though. http://brickset.com/sets/theme-The-Simpsons

whatcha talkin' bout? - <sarcasm mode engaged>. here's what took 7965's place:

Tread lightly hxckid.....once you travel down that path.....

I am having a surprisingly good season - but I have to say that hearing some people basically laughing at other investors (who aren't doing so well) kinda sucks.

A "healthy" market is a functioning market and one aspect of any well-functioning market is the pricing dynamics that flow from the competition between individual sellers. Although dumping may force the price of a set down over some given period of time, there is nothing about that scenario that reflects an "unhealthy" market. You seem to be equating the "health" of a market for an item with the price of that item at any given time. There is no doubt that everyone selling Lego on the secondary market (or any other product on any other market) could make a lot more money if everyone on the sell side of the equation acted in concert to maintain prices at a given level. That is why the antitrust laws forbid price fixing.

I'm going to flat out disagree with you. Inflated eBay prices tell me when production is done secondary BIN sales will skyrocket. Fire Brigade prices doubled within 3 months, and that was heavily stockpiled. Maybe demand will differ depending on location but I'm convinced this is a big time money maker in the UK.

Bought a Ferris Wheel last week from ebay. It was listed for $20 + $8 shipping. I didn't expect much out of this deal. The package arrived today and surprisingly it includes the original box, 3 manuals, motor, and many pieces. I haven't verified the completeness yet but it looks pretty promising. Oh well, for the price I paid, I am extremely happy.

Not trying to toot my own horn too loudly, but I had an annual goal for gross revenue....and I just passed it today! It's a number that I'm proud of - doing this part time to feed my own collection - Now let's see if I can blow it out with a couple weeks left!

Aaand done...I dunno how some of you guys like Trek (45 shipments the other day) keep up this kind of volume... Exhausting!

What is the logic behind that? Blue EOL? Are they not interested in having their boats float? Or is Gray the new blue, what with all the pollution in the oceans and stuff? ha ha...

I'm waiting for them to hit $17.50.

Spongebob is not an AFOL line, Simspons is.

Lol. I built the winter cottage last year. My first build. I'm going to build the tb and then I'm going into lego building retirement. I mean it ll all be down hill from the tb so what's the point....

I had a complete set of new MC on ebay for $440 plus shipping for 2 weeks and no one bit. Had over 100 views and 2 watchers but that's it. So last night I opened it up and split it all up and listed them all separate. Within 3 hours all sold except Ender Dragon for $410 in combined sales plus shipping for each. All I have left of MC are two 21117. Looks like I might be holding those two for a while, but not bad considering I started off with 10 21113, 6 21114, 8 21115, 6 21116, 2 21117, 2 21118. In hindsight I should have got more 21118. My last one went for $16 plus shipping.

If you are new to Lego investing, look up Taj Mahal, the Eiffel Tower, the Statue of Liberty, etc. This set is every bit the landmark set those are. That isn't to say it will do precisely what those sets did- there are a LOT more Lego investors than there were when those were out- but clearly sets that are: A: large B: iconic C: world re-known ... are fail-safe investments. Even HCX is building one, and he hasn't built a set since 41053 came out.

A Lego Red-Brick district?

It has sold out on Lego 's home store again. And seems this time there will be no new shipping any more: This set was overwhelmingly popular and is no longer available for purchase. Limited quantity is expected at LEGO

The pig is not realistic enough.

Send one at cost to each BP-er without Elsa's Castles in his/her area

this QFLL is flying high

I grabbed a couple more at Target online... This is a lesson I'm learning quickly this year--my first really "all in" the business: If you want something and it's still on sale, grab it now. Price go up and then poof quickly as sets start to vanish.

For motorizing the HE, it

This weekend has been good

The flaw of applying the Bertrand theory to this particular set, is the assumption that everybody has the "same constant unit cost". There are other factors utilized to bring the cost lower than those competing for the same sale. Therefore, the guy with the 200 units might have a lower cost per unit and in all apparent is only making $10 per unit, but in reality he is making closer to $20 - 30. The money is made at the entry point and realized on the sale.

Good fair comments- agree and understand them all. I have been lurking on this site for some time and contributed a little and benefited from the DPCI of this set. I have what I wanted, a set for my daughter for Christmas, and my friends and flipped 4. Only 5 days left and I agree that they need to be moved quickly before they are released, but as stated before, as a dad of a 5 year old girl, we are not selling a lego set, this is selling Elsa merchandise. Frozen elsa merchandise is nuts!!! Additionally, prior to Christmas, in the 8 days of the selling cycle of this product there was always going to be a higher supply than demand. The guy who has 200 sets with $10 profit makes 2k if all sold, sure, but isn't 4k better than 2k? This set is unique in the supply and demand as it allowed for selling on price for profits rather than quantity for profits. The Betrand theory of economics would have applied in this situation more than any other, we were hardly fighting each other's for customers. Granted- the 2k in profit would come In quicker than if you had priced higher, probably. But a short supply and high demand would pretty much guarantee if all sellers were at similar pricing they would all sell at that price. This product will be hard to come by for some time, hopefuly I don't have to eat my words on this, but having experience in merchandise that is not restricted to lego allows me to see a slightly clearer picture. Good luck to all! All of our situations are different,

The quick flip is gone as people are selling for approx $7-10 profit. I guarantee the only people who have them are on this site...supply and demand, so much money has been left on the table. I sold two on eBay for +139 and then sold two via craigslist for $150. These guys selling at 60-70$$$ don't get it.

Lol...yes, your son should have asked first before he opened and built it, but to sell a set your kid built and was having fun with for a measly $9 profit is hard core!

Get ready for tan.

6864 batmobile and two face chase - $130

A new employee at Lego made a mistake..... Got calendars, 2x VP points, and Winter Ice Skating. Multiple purchases. Also got a few other sought-after sets......Hint: Star Wars

I can't speak for non-US markets. I have no idea how they're performing. I do believe, though, that they are still readily available in southeast Asia and the Pacific (which makes sense for TheDarkness). I mentioned this in a different thread late last night. 9 sets of Series 1 Mixels @ RRP cost $404. 1 SSD cost $399.95. Both retired this past summer. Selling on eBay right now, $120 for Mixels. Sell all 9, get $1,080 for your $400 investment. Your SSD is going to get you between $600 and $700.

This mini All Terrain Defense Pod is supposed to be the free polybag for the month of January in 2015 with any Star Wars purchase from Shop-At-Home. Source

Thank you very much for this. I've been in need of boxes & I basically saved 50% vs ULine. Total with Free Ship & 6.50 Tax was about $67 for 50 large boxes! Item No. Name Price Qty Coupons and Rewards: Subtotal 426400 24"(L) x 18"(W) x 6"(****)- Staples

I feel the same way about 21006. When/if either of these go they should spike very quickly.

Me. At twice retail.

Over time you should get to about half (25% is low, how many transactions?) - Just keep doing a good job, and things will average out. I wouldn't suggest begging for feedback - sometimes a buyer is being kind by just saying nothing. Leaving feedback before the entire transaction is complete also take away some incentive for the buyer.

NOTE: This was originally wrote assuming you had two trains, if you have one, you only need one of each, except the track if you need it. However that was only my personal recommendation and you may or may not need more. If you happen to get or already have a second HE, just put the extra motor, battery box, IR Receiver and lights in the second locomotive. The train is too heavy to only use one set of motors successfully. They recommend the PF rechargeable battery box and transformer, which costs $75 together. So if you want the cheaper alternative, there's a AAA battery box as well. Two of each. PF Train motors 88002 IR Receiver 8884 AAA/Rechargeable Battery box 88000/8878 One of each Transformer 8887 (only needed if you're using the rechargeable box) Infrared remote control 8879 Optional PF lights x2 8870 Straight and Flexi track* x4 7499 Switch track* x2 7895 Those will help you get started if you need some track. Without the extras, it will cost you about $85-184, but all decked out with all the bells and whistles will run you about $202-301. Of course that depends on your choice of battery pack, and doesn't even factor in the price of the trains! Hope you enjoy it *This is assuming you have little to no track, if you do, all decked out would just cost $90-190. I mentioned this only because you seem to be a little new to the PF system.

21118 up to $199 AZ non-FBA.. Wonder when ebay will follow suit.... I finally sold a 21117 tonight, crazy!

I think those hoping for a UCS refresh are going to be disappointed.

I'm looking for one as they haven't hit md yet. If anyone is feeling generous, I'll have a trade posted when I get home. Pm if you can help out! Thanks

2 minecraft Crafting boxes for $92 each in the last 24 hours bin free shipping. scuffed up most damaged box mars rover in my possession from last TRU ebay batch actually sent in an envelope - $89 bin free shipping. $160 in 3 separate city lots in the last 24 hours - actually made 10% after fees and shipping - glad to have my capital back.

I'm holding onto all my Two-Face Escapes, so why not hold onto my Quinjets too?

While many Lego products are purchased as Christmas presents for children, the items i have are mostly for collectors, and likely purchased BY collectors for themselves. I'm actually anticipating a large influx of business AFTER christmas once everyone has received their gift cards, cash, etc. Anyone else hoping / planning for that angle? (fill in expensive set name here) isn't going under the tree for Timmy, it's going to be a gift from 37 year old Fred to Fred for surviving the holidays, and maybe funded by his Christmas bonus (or a month or two later funded by his tax refund).

The current EOL set market is dealing with being a victim of its own success. For any old timers or middle-aged timers even, the exact reason you (we) enjoyed the profits we did is why a lot more people are in the game now. Without those profits, we wouldn't be in this situation. How many people checked out eBay and saw a retired set's selling price and thought "Wow, I have to do more research into this....had no idea LEGO sets could be this valuable" That's exactly how I started, just so happened to see what a Cafe Corner was going for. That was before the days of BP too which has been a primer for any new investors to help avoid a lot of those early growing pains and has helped accelerate the field of competition. Not complaining about it though, I enjoy being part of this site. Historically, any industry that has a low barrier for entry is going to have to face heavy competition the older that industry gets. Let's face it, it doesn't take a scientist to buy and sell LEGO, just money, space and a decent work ethic if you want to have some success...we didn't have to go to school for 10 years to try and cure cancer, we're just reselling plastic.The barrier for this industry is fairly low. Now, that's not the end of the world, just a shifting of expectations. It will reach a point where the curve tops out and you won't have all these new sellers coming in. Unfortunately, this is also tied to profits, but this time it's because the easy money is gone and its not attractive to people outside looking in. You also will have some people leave for greener (true or perceived) pastures. I guess the only question is if we are near that point of "topping out". I would say with all these really nice exclusives just retiring, that this business will still be getting a lot of curious new eyes looking into it in the next few years, so there is going to be a good amount of competition still coming in keeping the Plastic Rush alive. Enjoy the profits that are still there in these middle years of growth, just keep expectations in check.