Leaderboard

Exclusives approaching or exceeding 2 years old (by age): 6.4 yrs: 10188 Death Star 4.7 yrs: 10211 Grand Emporium 4.1 yrs: 10214 Tower Bridge 3.5 yrs: 10218 Pet Shop 3.1 yrs: 10220 Volkswagen T1 Camper Van 2.8 yrs: 10223 Kingdoms Joust 2.7 yrs: 10224 Town Hall 2.5 yrs: 10225 R2-D2 2.4 yrs: 10226 Sopwith Camel 2.3 yrs: 9398 4X4 Crawler 2.2 yrs: 10228 Haunted House 1.8 yrs: 10233 Horizon Express 1.8 yrs: 10937 Batman: Arkham Asylum Breakout 1.8 yrs: 42006 Excavator

***Immediately starts doing situps to "Eye of the Tiger."

This might be old news, but have you guys noticed the new items with the "retiring soon" tag at shop@home? 9493 X-Wing 75019 AT-TE 75018 Jek-14 41008 Heartlake Pool 75041 Vulture Droid 75039 V-Wing 75003 A-Wing 75022 Mandalorian Speeder 3185 Summer Riding Camp And others. Several of these look interesting to me though.

Awards Labels are mostly given on november and december, no ? Who knows, maybe you should try to explain that your life as a reseller would be better if they confirm it's retired. Lego can't stop to argue that they are very nice people.

My bad. Somehow my search pulled out those big Technic sets as well. Here is a graph of the current vintage of exclusives.

Right here: http://community.brickpicker.com/topic/10400-assumed-date-codes-for-production-runs/page-27#entry347889 If I cared to speculate (and I do), I would predict 13-14 major sets are going away (or are already gone except for vapors): TH, GE. HH. SC, KJ, R2, HE, SOH, WVM, ToO, R5, EEE, AA, and maybe it is finally time for good old DS. Ones that I don't think are going away (that others have speculated will) are: TB, PS, 4x4, T1 Just IMHO, YMMV, etc, etc. P.S. - 60% of the time I think I'm 100% correct, or 100% of the time 60% correct, or I can't fool all of the people some of the time, or something like that.

No biggie...Just don't want to give false information. Might be 11. LOL

Hmm, so, at least, Ed did not invoke Newton's flaming laser sword, which is good I guess. In its weakest form it says that we should not dispute propositions unless they can be shown by precise logic and/or mathematics to have observable consequences. In its strongest form it demands a list of observable consequences and a formal demonstration that they are indeed consequences of the proposition claimed

Occam's razor (also written as Ockham's razor and in Latin lex parsimoniae) is a problem-solving principle devised by William of Ockham (c. 1287

I am here...just watching...and waiting...

Because that's what we do when there is nothing we can do about it!

Sleep is costly

Dear Lego friends, For all you Dutch investors (perhaps also other countries with Dutch contacts): Intertoys.nl will have upcoming sunday 2th of November a 15% discount on their entire webshop collection. It is from a highly trusted source. This means TH's for 153 euro and GE for 135 euro. There are now more than hundred in stock, let's buy this **** saturday night before the 'normal' people can buy one, so we can sell it with big profits later on to them :-p Good luck! I will also make a specific topic in the 'european deals' area of this forum.

This past Febuary, I found a lone 10212 Imperial Shuttle sitting on a shelf in TRU. When I asked an employee about it, he said they had just found it in the back room.

That's because 70% have limited to none of the TH in hand at the moment. Myself included.

I'm reassured that 70% of brickpickers still say TH will be out at least until 2015. For Lego to retire it before that would be downright undemocratic!

I've been attending the BrickCon Public Expo in Seattle for years, but had never displayed my models before or participated in the longer 4-day Private Convention. I just completed an in-depth write-up that goes "behind the scenes" at one of the largest and oldest LEGO conventions for AFOL's. Some of my highlights: Seeing large LEGO models get re-assembled was really interesting. I loved playing the LEGO games like the "Blind Build" shown here. Displaying my models for the first time to the Public was really cool. As always, there were impressive new models on display at the Public Exhibition. LINK TO LONGER ARTICLE AND MORE PHOTOS: http://tomalphin.com/2014/10/brickcon_2014_behind_the_scenes.html I hope you find this behind the scenes look at BrickCon to be interesting. If you got to attend too, what was your highlight from the show? Sincerely, ---tom

What are scripts and how do they work? I like many of us are looking ways to score deals which are only available for minutes.

SOOO happy for you..../sarcasm good snag!

Today was interesting as despite my best efforts, I was unable to 1-click into anything but it made me consider the following, particularly concerning the throng of people pounding F5 for Town Halls and Haunted Houses, here and elsewhere. Generalized statement: Lego's retail outlets probably do very well; they are in high traffic areas, usually in more affluent neighbourhoods and shopping districts with higher rents. They seem to be undergoing a very controlled retail expansion and to me that is a positive sign and I would love to know what their average sales are (choose your metric). Lego stores are the greatest "showroom" for their product and, in my opinion, greatly strengthens their brand and brand awareness. I also notice that the amount of Lego advertising is steadily growing through TV shows, retail opportunities and of course the Lego movie - the best 2hr ad created in recent memory. I don't know what the end game is for their distribtuion network - but a lot of consumers are less aware of shopping at lego.com than they are of amazon/walmart/target etc. One way to continue the company's growth is to have a higher turnover rate of sets and themes (the next big thing) to continue to grow sales. In another thread, I noted that Lego has introduced approximately 10 new "exclusive style sets" this year - there isn't room for all of them in the showroom and I realized that in my last few trips to 4-5 Lego stores, I have seen less space for exclusives and more for mid range sets. That could be due to a shortage or it could be a subtle switch to a modified business model. Specialized statement: Investors should really consider their holiday plans and determine what is best for them - sets at 40% that will probably be around again at a lesser discount or sets at no discount that may or may not be around in the next 6-12 months. Newer members should REALLY research before the end of November so that you lessen the probability of making a mistake. Either nothing is retiring or everything is. Good luck on your hunts, now I need one more TH

probably...i just noticed this has been out almost 2 years...the bakery and a few others too...i think this one and the bakery will be winners...not a triple or anything but a solid double msrp in due time....

no joke, thanks for the advice

Throw us a bone please Ed, and preferably not one of those cryptic ones.

The simple view on this would be 10 sets are retiring and as long as you stocked up on them there's nothing to fear but why would you actually fear if you missed out on something you just missed out the reason fear Thel part of me makes me think there is a great class distinction divide coming that will segregate people not based on what they purchased but on who they are that's what bothers me and I fear But since Ed said keep it simple stupid in very fancy words I think the answer is 10 sets are retiring and you're in great shape if you stocked up on the right ones

Occam's razor (also written as Ockham's razor and in Latin lex parsimoniae) is a problem-solving principle devised by William of Ockham (c. 1287

I'm going to poop my pants.

There is more to come...Hope you all are prepared...

Last year someone sad that anything in friends line related to water was pure money for flipping around christmas, but i am guessing dolphin cruiser sales probably made that person biased :-)

I can just see beavis and butthe@d......"LEGO [email protected] he he he he he he"

I'd be happy with one.

I think there are plenty of people who are complaining about not getting HHs that already have 4-8 of them, but rather have 14-18, given how fat this gravy train is assumed to become.

Hmm, jerks in your part of the world must be descendants or related to the jerks in my part of the world! For every person I get who wants to buy, I'd say only one in about seven actually completes the transaction. Others want ridiculous discounts or simply stop communicating. That being said, it is generally worth the trouble/annoyance as I like being paid in cash!

I see the RRP is 180

Well, since there will be a new modular out, the assortiment will consist of 4 modular building so that seeems acceptable to you?

I had no idea that section was up. It really needs some way for people to easily show where they are and you should make it mandatory to specify.

No problem.......................after a secret loan from my wife's savings account.

I think I'm going to cry...

With these only available online until 2015. It's screaming Xmas flip

They'll hit the floor next week. I'm waiting for a BOGO 50% to stock up.

Even better when in

Hey guys just an update on that HH I got of ebay that turned up wet ect. It is all sorted the seller was really good and is sending me replacement and sorting out refund ect with delivery company for himself. There is some brilliant sellers out there.

If you truly think this (I don't think you do) then it would be completely ridiculous of you to stay in this business. You should Sell off off your stock and jump ship if you think this way (you don't).

I think that Ed's message has been consistent. 1) TH is a goner. 2) The reason it is retiring sooner than most thought has nothing to do with sales or box size. 3) We can no longer count on predictable retirement dates for large exclusives, even modulars. This may be a strategy to avoid wild swings in inventory.

All I originally posted was..."Maybe the Town Hall retiring had nothing to do with sales." Then people started talking about Oz, fat men and Hamlet. Go figure.

Time to just start reading the BP daily updates and save myself sifting through 100 new pages of insane ramblings each day...

I read that as you were saying you buy stuff with BA's wife's account.

Ordered Parisian Restaurant today. Will build it next weekend. All because of people posting here how great it is. Hate you guys... Could have spent the money on an extra TH

Well, orange is the new black, you know.

We are Legion.