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So far so good with my experiment. Here is what I've ordered so far. Each order has come with the free elves workshop promo set, in addition to the free hot dog cart with the fairground mixers and free poster with tower of orthanc, as well as the double VIP points. Every order has gone straight to processing and then shipped status (no customer service status). The pet shops went to back ordered status at first but have since shipped. 10/1 Santa workshop / ecto 1 10/2 pet shop 10/3 palace cinema 10/4 fairground mixer 10/5 Mini Cooper 10/6 tower of orthanc 10/7 Santa workshop / ecto 1 10/8 pet shop 10/9 palace cinema 10/10 fairground mixer 10/11 Mini Cooper 10/12 tower of orthanc 10/13 Santa workshop / ecto 1 10/14 pet shop I plan on continuing the same rotation through the rest of the month, except I will swap out the fairground mixer and tower of orthanc with camper vans, arkhams, and R2D2. I only wanted two mixers and orthancs. Total promos earned so far = 14 elves workshops, 2 hot dog carts, 2 lotr posters, and $170 worth of VIP points. Once November hits I will spend the points on ewok villages to get those at a reduced price.

B = Shenzhen, China **** = Ny

Holy hell I finally got one!!!! :D

i agree. with any investment, it's all about speculation since we don't have insider info. luck also helps i'm stepping onto my soapbox now. while lego sometimes indirectly drops hints (e.g. sets keeping selling out, set is getting long in the tooth, sets that like to be replacements are released, buying limits per order, etc...), it is still mainly speculation and luck. i assume sometimes we need to go with our gut feeling. as some of us (at least me) are both AFOLs and collectors , i like to think those people have a grasp on what sets will be popular after retirement. my honest opinion, it's not rocket science and people shouldn't depend on the same repeated posts about what sets should be bought. if i think a set is totally cool after building it, i'm buying it since others will probably feel the same way after missing out on it. that is why people jumped all over 10226 SC, 10221 SSD, 10228 HH, 10197 FB and even sets back in the mid-late 2000s like 10179 MF, 10196 GC, 10181 EF and the first 2 modular blgs to name some. To me, they were totally awesome builds and looked cool on display 10224 fits into my thought process. bottom line is to not wait too long in buying sets you think are cool.

Duplo Big Zoo - $140 shipped

Sold a Lone Ranger train for $109.99 + shipping. Time to raise the price again.

You will increase your odds of getting one greatly by setting up one-click. Then it never has to go in the cart. You see the $179 price on the main product page, hot the one-click button, and BAM! it's yours. If it disappears before hitting the one-click, then hit F5 on the resulting page until another one pops into the system and it goes through. I only use a page monitor to notify when items start to pop in stock. Then I refresh the product page until the amazon price shows up. Then one click and F5 to purchase. With this method, I've never missed buying my limit of 2 when an item showed up while I was in front of the monitoring PC. When I post here, I have usually already bought my limit but I keep watching it to see how long it stays on stock. In this case, it was ony showing in the other sellers list (since it has a 1 to 2 day delay) but did show up on the main product page for a little while. There were evidently a few available as I had to disable my page monitor because it kept going off. Anyone who has been following my amazon purchasing method could have gotten their two over about a ten-minute window they were there.

HH in stock @ Amazon! <and OOS already...sorry, probably happens so fast these days not worth posting it>

1,000 posts later, and all we know for sure is - LEGO investors have way too much time on their hands.

2x HH @ Amazon from this AM shipped already !!

Another set of Mixels Series 1 for $110, and two more RIs for $70 each. I'm OOS on RIs. Decided I was happy with the ROI, and since more were appearing in store this week, I wanted to get some money out of them before a flood of new product showed up. If I screwed up, oh well. I missed the boat a little while ago when they were going for $90. Might as well be happy with grossing 4x what I paid for them.

I'm 2 plane hours away from the nearest store but I've been to several and it is even better!

Only after a quick conference call with Tabbyboy to confirm it's sufficiently rejectable. No offense, just a little tease.

HH popping in on Amazon. In for 2.

I'm glad Amazon waited a week before releasing their latest batch of HH. Hopefully in another eight days we can do this again.

I've been saying that before it was cool

Some more leaked SW 7 concept art surfaced: https://imageshack.com/user/themillenniumfalcon I found it through http://www.starwars7news.com/2014/10/star-wars-episode-7-concept-art-leaked.html

9515 Star Wars Malevolence: $200 + shipping

When you check LEGO Shop at Home, and search for creator sets, the GE and the TH are not listed anymore with the others modulars. I didn't realized that before today so I can't tell when it happened (today ? or 10 months ago ?). They still are in the "creator" section (Lego > Themes > Creator > ...), but the website's browser just can't find them. They only appear with the "Hard to find" and "Exclusive" sets, along with the others modulars and Tower of O., Ewok village, Tumbler, etc. (the pet shop is OoS up to October 30th but still appears in the creator sets listing with the other modulars)

a little too early ... gotta be patient with this set ... only less than a year out from EOL ...

What will effect its growth is how little of a profit investors will accept. If they won't sell until prices get higher then it will rise faster. If people are fine with $50 profit then growth will be slow.

Are you sure about 39? Not 38?

I got 2.

Looks like Mastermindtoys.ca is following suit with amazon and walmart in carrying the exclusives. Got and e-mail from them today advertising their availability online. None of the imminently retiring or retired sets listed on here like walmart had, but figured i'd pass it along as it's just 1 more place for us to find a deal or last minute item with drying up stock elsewhere! http://www.mastermindtoys.com/LEGO-Hard-To-Find.aspx

Well now. I have never ever been on a plane, never mine being to several stores and whatsmore I ... Only joking of course I been on a plane to Spain. I love your country and your food dishes and really love your wine. Viva Espana

My last 2 from WM were in a Lego box.

I have 2 orders of 2 on the way from Walmart I will advise if they are both in the original Lego box when I get them. I have hope.

Me to. Never ever seen a pick a brick wall (or whatever it's called). I imagine Lego stores are a bit like Mr Magorium's Wonder Emporium store. All full of wonder and bedazzlement.

but is it luck from using the 1-click option or adding to cart?

those Xmas promo sets are meant to opened up and built and displayed ... i doubt box condition really matters at all as most sets will be opened ... minor box cosmetic damage on 3E is nothing to worry about ... all big boxed and heavy Lego sets will have some kind of cosmetic damage from dents, dings, creases and sliding seals ... all minor

This set available again this morning (Oct. 15).

I had the same issue, closed the Browser and went back in and it worked

Sorry if a bit OT... but is anyone else having trouble logging out of LEGO Shop at Home? When I hover over the LOGOUT text, the link doesn't work. The link above it is fine (user name). It's been like that for a few days now. Is there another way to logout?

FWIW: I called Lego today to ask wether they could add the promo set to my Bo from 6 oct. Of course the could not :-( !!AND she would not recommend to cancel my order because the Set is done and i would not be able to buy the Set again! Lets hope they ship my HH soon...

Where is that Culture Club song when you need it? Time won't give me time And time makes lovers feel like they've got somethin' real But you and me, we know they've got nothin' but time And time won't give me time won't give me time

Not me, but a friend that's just starting to get into "smart" Lego buying... He's on business in Santa Barbara. Found a CL ad for around 45 lbs of Lego for $185. He offered $100. They bit on it. It's the first day of the next four weeks he's there. He said he got some funny looks bringing two totes of Lego into his hotel room.

Just to give folks more info. I have been buying a stream of different exclusives every 7 days from Amazon. Based on the tape codes i would say that they use a lifo inventory system as i am now recwiving sets that were made in the last quarter of 2013, after tracking through mid to early 2014 tape codes. These are exclusives that have been discussed and are close to expected eol time frame. Just more info to debate.

Maybe it will be a show about Lego trying to take down and ban dirty scumbag resellers. Kind of like CSI. They can kick down doors and raid stashes.

Posted this morning on Brickset Post - "Town Hall may very well be done. My S@H order has been cancelled. Oh well, at least I got a free Holiday set out of the deal which already shipped." Question - "^What was the reason for the cancellation?" Answer - ""The demand for the item(s) listed below has exceeded our expectations and the item(s) are no longer available. We regret to inform you that the order for these item(s) has been cancelled from your order" I have never ordered the Town Hall from any place, so it is not an issue where they think I've surpassed a limit. Next post - "Yep, I just got the same email cancelling the Town Hall I bought on October 8th. Same reason - demand exceeds supply. This is the same email Lego sends out when an item retires and they need to cancel orders after running out of stock." First poster again - "I think the backorder date was the 20th when I ordered. I ordered it during a small window when it reappeared on S@H." Another canceled order - "Well, I haven't received the message from Lego yet, but it appears my TH order from the 8th has also been cancelled. When I checked online, the status of my order was "Customer Service", but the status indicator beside the TH line item itself is "Cancelled" Oh Well... The TH is my least favorite modular anyways and I still got a free xmas promo out of it. I'll sleep alright tonight."

www.fun.be (and the physical stores) has a 15% discount on all toys, including Lego, until the 3th of November 2014. You need this coupon (in Dutch) http://media.fun.be/media/fun/-15_PROCENT_BON.pdf?utm_campaign=promomail_131014_lancering_folder_nl&utm_medium=email&utm_source=stem&utm_content=15_PROCENT_BON

Act like mscheaf and threadcrap in every topic that discusses EOL. Make completely unfounded statements followed by "Book it". Discuss hotcakes in TRU parking lots.

This numbskull just sold a TH on ebay that arrived from Amazon with all the seals opened, retaped with packing tape, with bar code labels on the box for $100 over MSRP.

Just wrapped up a smaller set. I like how you can fit four mini figures inside. Great use of space for a smaller ship. I'm working on the Technic Lego Plane right now, but I'll have to stop half way through because I'm hoping to grab The Lonely Mountain tomorrow morning.

Thought I would share my Mixel stash. 95% of these came from the same LL Discovery Center. I think I'm the only person who ever bought Series 1 Mixels there. They still have reds and blacks on the shelf. The bagged ones are complete sets. Photos kind of suck. 24 complete sets, tons of extras, if I could get a bunch more Volectros I would have a lot more complete sets. Also the beginnings of my Series 2 hoarding, mostly blues from TRU. I have a Mixel problem. I found 6 more complete sets I ratholed in my garage the other day which I completely forgot about. Thanks to Alpine, my mixel inspiration.

I've got a script (allinone.bat) setup that checks stock, orders, lists, boxes and ships. I also have a 2nd script setup that spends all the money (wife.bat)

Sorry but this is not 100% true. At least, in europe... There are about two kinds of passenger trains: - some for long distance (to travel through the country - 300km / 1000km) - some for short distance (to travel through a region - 50km / 300km ) Long distance: Horizon express (vintage TGV), passenger trains 7897 and 60051 (ICE trains from DB)... You'll need two sets to see them longer and more accurate in size. But the 7938 is quite correct in size (you can even consider it's too long !) NB: the train above is a X-73X00 (73500/73800/73900...) model from Alstom, used by the SNCF (France, most of the time they are blue), and also at the frontier between France and Germany (the red model in picture is one of them, and belongs to the DB).

Sold a Police ATV polybag for $5. The time it took me to research market price, take photos, list, print label, find envelop, etc is worth much more than the set. Googled the recipient's address, saw the house and decided to include a Worriz fire bike as a small surprise for the kid.

Regarding the ebay motive - One of the higher ups at ebay accidently stated at some public function that the % of TRS plus sellers was higher than they had expected, and that the new changes were expected to bring it down in line with the projections that they were looking for. I don't know what happened to this person, but I would guess there is a good chance that he also lost his ebay status.

Fingers crossed

I really need to slow down when typing from my phone, sheesh. Even i don't like reading it.