Absolutely 100% correct
Almost every other worry posted isn't really an issue.
Overproduction? Lego doesn't keep producing a dead horse. If they did, they'd be broke.
Too many investors? There's too much credit given to the people on this site who buy Lego as an investment. How many members here can spend 1k+ each month? Let's say you do--or the average is 1K--that's a minute portion of the amount of sets available at any one time. Not to mention discounts or closeouts. And there's also people here or elsewhere with a garage or basement full of Lego that won't get sold for another 10+ years.
How many of us here have a few Fire Brigades? Should be most of us, especially those who were able to get them from Amazon a while back for $105. Seemingly overnight the price jumped once it retired. Is anyone worried? No. How many of us have either sold our stock or have them listed right now? I'm guessing it's a small percentage. And yet no one is worried that there's too many out there or too many in people's investment portfolios. There's about 90 listed on ebay right now as a BiN, but probably 20 of the listings(using Lego 10197 as search) pull up non-set items. Should it worry anyone who wants to list theirs that it's among 70 other people selling them? Only if you're over invested and need cash. List yours for either the going rate or $10-20 higher and let it run(which is what's happened over the last 2 weeks).
Lego imposing limits or banning people. Nope, not an issue. And as has been commented on a few posts up, it will eventually help resellers on the secondary market. Remember the FB from the above paragraph? Suddenly, we all are paying $150 for them. Does anyone realize that this could actually raise the prices/profits once the sets retire? And besides, there's always a way to purchase from Lego.
Undercutters. There will always be people who are either impatient or just want to work harder at a lower profit margin. They sold their FB's 6 weeks ago for under $200 while now they're in the $240-260 range. All you usually have to do is to just extend your window to sell by about 2-6 months. Let the initial wave go by and then list your sets. Learn how to market your items - good pictures, explain your shipping procedures, don't have your listing details written out like a 3yearold with 6 different font sizes and colors. Be a good seller. Your items will sell. Funny thing is, if you are patient, YOU can be the undercutter. Regardless, there's a limited amount of any one set a person has and when they're gone, they're gone and you might be the next cheapest without adjusting any of your prices.
Too many resellers. No denying there's a lot of people selling Lego sets, and that number will likely only rise. But patience is good here too. Let's say you list a set but it doesn't sell in a week. Should that be a big deal? I don't think so. Either accept a lower profit or hold onto it for longer. Or find other areas to sell it. If you list a FB set and you're bummed it didn't sell for $299 so that you could double your investment, that's on you. Find out your profit margin and either list or don't. Take profit or wait. But keep in mind, there's hundreds of different sets all available at any time. Do you have multiples of sets? List one or two of a dozen different sets. Or bundle some sets from the same line and try that aspect of selling.
Do you ever track a set? Make a chart for a set you expect to retire soon. Mark the lowest cost you know of or that you paid for that set. Once it is officially retired, mark the date on the chart. Then either once a week or two, or monthly, keep track of the amount listed, amount sold, and average for both. Is there a crazy glut for the first month? A significant peak for prices at the 3 month mark? Do sales drop after 8 months? It shouldn't be the same percentages for every set, but it might give you perspective on how to deal with values and quantity available. And the cheaper the set, usually the more are available at any time down the road.
If you've been stockpiling Death Stars for the past 3 years, you should also be able to wait 1-3 years after it retires to sell them. If funds are too tight or you purchase too much, you may need to stop buying for a set amount of time. Regroup, then go back to it with limits in mind.
Bad economy. Lastly, this is also a non-issue of sorts. Parents always want their kids to be happy. You might have slow sales for a few months, but there's always people out there who can afford whatever they want. Lego isn't for everyone. Let's face it--Lego is expensive. But from August/September through the end of January, you can sell out of your inventory at times if you choose to. You might have to adjust your margins over the rest of the year or just let your investments age a little more.
Anywho, sorry for the long post. Blame Glenbart! His post got me thinking heh