Retiring Soon - open speculation

[cladner]

nvm dementia setting in

Edited October 4, 2022 by cladner

[BrickLover80]

123 Sesame Street is sold out. Too bad, was hoping to grab a few today with double VIP.

 

[marcandre]

1 hour ago, BrickLover80 said:

123 Sesame Street is sold out. Too bad, was hoping to grab a few today with double VIP.

 

Dang, me too. Do I raid targets today or skip SS? 

I screwed this whole double points up. Missed SS, ordered Disney Castle last week because it was backordered. Now it's plentiful & I'm at my limit. 

[melting]

8 minutes ago, marcandre said:

Dang, me too. Do I raid targets today or skip SS? 

I screwed this whole double points up. Missed SS, ordered Disney Castle last week because it was backordered. Now it's plentiful & I'm at my limit. 

Made the same mistake on Castle.

[vasp]

6 hours ago, BrickLover80 said:

123 Sesame Street is sold out. Too bad, was hoping to grab a few today with double VIP.

 

If you don't care about double VIP, amazon has some in stock. Limit 20. $5 off. Says ships between oct 28-25

Surprising that this is going so early.

[BillyBricks]

8 hours ago, vasp said:

If you don't care about double VIP, amazon has some in stock. Limit 20. $5 off. Says ships between oct 28-25

Surprising that this is going so early.

Walmart has it too but with $9 back from Honey. 

[Bricklectic]

yes. im going to go there. bring on the hate. i deserve it. but TH - is 175 now. 

Not on any EOL lists.....but I see on Brickset it says 2022 as end date. Supposedly theyre authoritative. Might catch a few ppl by surprise. yeah, i know many ppl have hoards from years past. still, its uber popular.

[redcell]

13 minutes ago, Bricklectic said:

yes. im going to go there. bring on the hate. i deserve it. but TH - is 175 now. 

Not on any EOL lists.....but I see on Brickset it says 2022 as end date. Supposedly theyre authoritative. Might catch a few ppl by surprise. yeah, i know many ppl have hoards from years past. still, its uber popular.

If I were inclined to buy TH before its retirement, I would not be buying it this year.

[Brick625]

11 minutes ago, redcell said:

If I were inclined to buy TH before its retirement, I would not be buying it this year.

What does TH stand for? 

[pharmjod]

3 minutes ago, nick625 said:

What does TH stand for? 

Treehouse (ideas)

[Brick625]

3 minutes ago, pharmjod said:

Treehouse (ideas)

Thanks.

I was thinking Town Hall  

[407brianb8872]

Worst buy of alltime. I loathe the Treehouse. I will never spend another dollar on that set, I am stacked deep and have held onto this pos for 2 years. Trust me this set is stacked super deep. The Treehouse hysteria was insane. 

Edited October 12, 2022 by 407brianb8872

[BrickLover80]

55 minutes ago, Bricklectic said:

yes. im going to go there. bring on the hate. i deserve it. but TH - is 175 now. 

Not on any EOL lists.....but I see on Brickset it says 2022 as end date. Supposedly theyre authoritative. Might catch a few ppl by surprise. yeah, i know many ppl have hoards from years past. still, its uber popular.

It also had a price increase, so some room to discount it.

If I were speculating on a surprise retirement, it would be one of the sets that didn't go up, but isn't on any list. Pooh, for example.

 

[Bricklectic]

13 minutes ago, BrickLover80 said:

It also had a price increase, so some room to discount it.

If I were speculating on a surprise retirement, it would be one of the sets that didn't go up, but isn't on any list. Pooh, for example.

 

I'm basing my speculation strictly on one data point:

https://brickset.com/sets/21318-1/Tree-House

[redcell]

6 minutes ago, Bricklectic said:

I'm basing my speculation strictly on one data point:

https://brickset.com/sets/21318-1/Tree-House

I'm not speculating.

[exciter1]

51 minutes ago, 407brianb8872 said:

Worst buy of alltime. I loathe the Treehouse. I will never spend another dollar on that set, I am stacked deep and have held onto this pos for 2 years. Trust me this set is stacked super deep. The Treehouse hysteria was insane. 

Where were you for Exosuit?

[brickolodon]

strange but @brickfanatics said 60345 farmers Market Van and 60347 Grocery Store will be retired this year 

[redcell]

2 minutes ago, brickolodon said:

strange but @brickfanatics said 60345 farmers Market Van and 60347 Grocery Store will be retired this year 

It's not uncommon for sets to have super short lives like this.  I keep expecting these sets to get extended, but we're getting pretty late in the year for it.

[brickolodon]

4 minutes ago, redcell said:

It's not uncommon for sets to have super short lives like this.  I keep expecting these sets to get extended, but we're getting pretty late in the year for it.

60347 sold out S&H already

[Pseudoty]

What’s up with this one?

[legorunner]

6 minutes ago, Pseudoty said:

What’s up with this one?

Last year the Halloween Owl sold out before Halloween, but came back again this year - first Walmart, then LEGO Shop at Home and Amazon. I would expect this to do the same next year. 

[keymomachine]

1 hour ago, legorunner said:

Last year the Halloween Owl sold out before Halloween, but came back again this year - first Walmart, then LEGO Shop at Home and Amazon. I would expect this to do the same next year. 

Yeah, you can pick up the Owl or Penguin at Aldi right now.

[407brianb8872]

2 hours ago, exciter1 said:

Where were you for Exosuit?

Lol, I never touched that absolute dog. Treehouse is a dog for sure. Sesame Street will be a winner for sure, even though it’s stacked very deep. As I keep saying, we are going to see a lot of panic selling this Christmas and the coming year. 

[Achilles]

4 hours ago, redcell said:

It's not uncommon for sets to have super short lives like this.  I keep expecting these sets to get extended, but we're getting pretty late in the year for it.

They keep releasing more sets each year, so I suspect there will continue to be an increase in shorter run sets like this going forward - I would assume relatively poor performers or ones in relatively crowded marketplaces.

They can't keep everything in production forever. In 2014 there were 750ish sets released. In 2007 450ish. Last year 850ish. (940 in 2021!!)

Of course, some of these could live on forever on Amazon, ala War Machine Buster, Compound Battle, etc.

Edited October 13, 2022 by Achilles

[$20 on joe vs dan]

14 hours ago, Achilles said:

They keep releasing more sets each year, so I suspect there will continue to be an increase in shorter run sets like this going forward - I would assume relatively poor performers or ones in relatively crowded marketplaces.

They can't keep everything in production forever. In 2014 there were 750ish sets released. In 2007 450ish. Last year 850ish. (940 in 2021!!)

Of course, some of these could live on forever on Amazon, ala War Machine Buster, Compound Battle, etc.

TOOS is the new "retired" and Amazon is where popular sets go to live on forever.

LEGO knows that they are essentially competing with themselves when it comes to high building systems...w/ factories strategically placed all over the world LEGO has a lot of manueverability to meet market forces.

That said the true cost of a Lego set is in the design and implementation (expensive skilled labor); so it hurts them financially to retire sets too soon.