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Retiring Soon - open speculation


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15 minutes ago, Voltron said:

What's the thinking for HP next year? 

 

Q2 21

- Great Hall

- Hagrids Hut

 

Q4 21

- Hogwarts Express

- Whomping Willow

- Knight Bus

- Clock Tower (Not as popular?)

- Room of requirement

- Umbridges encounter

 

 

 

not going to be far off that, HP sets are the least of targets for 2021

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What's going to happen to the HP series when all the Hogwarts Castle modulars retire? I know the new Book series are coming out, but honestly...seems to me that all the castle modulars need to stick around to keep the series going

HP sets are all about the memorable scenes from the book/Movies...yet they always tie back to Hogwarts...the series (in its current form) should continue for a few more years (I'm guessing).

Does the more experienced folks here remember how the prior versions came to a close...did the castle modulars hang around till the end?

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20 minutes ago, gmpirate said:

My guess is this will be become another Star Wars series and behave accordingly.  There will always be another MF & X-Wing.

yeah, but have you seen the Amazon prices for the last edition of Red 5?  It's insane.  Those were pallets high all across Costcos nationwide for $64 and then $49.

there is clearly a window for reselling...and hence the question posed above

 

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What I was saying is, I think HP may become a steady theme like Star Wars.  It's not going away.  They will retire the Great Hall, but like the MF, they will just bring in another.

In the past, The HP sets coordinated with the movie releases.  And like any theme, some sets lingered longer than others.  I believe during the last run, DA was the last to linger on.

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12 minutes ago, gmpirate said:

What I was saying is, I think HP may become a steady theme like Star Wars.  It's not going away.  They will retire the Great Hall, but like the MF, they will just bring in another.

In the past, The HP sets coordinated with the movie releases.  And like any theme, some sets lingered longer than others.  I believe during the last run, DA was the last to linger on.

I disagree.  Star Wars is their biggest money-maker, their anchor.  Also, there is continuous SW output to keep interests alive and for present/future generations.  Harry Potter is pretty much finished.  The Fantastic Beasts hasn't been that popular and no new HP is on the near horizon.  After a point, the license fee will no longer make sense.  There are still HP scenes that could be done but, without new, interesting content, it's a dwindling project.  That's just my $.02, I could be wrong.  I often have been.  Just ask my ex-wife.

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48 minutes ago, raindog said:

I disagree.  Star Wars is their biggest money-maker, their anchor.  Also, there is continuous SW output to keep interests alive and for present/future generations.  Harry Potter is pretty much finished.  The Fantastic Beasts hasn't been that popular and no new HP is on the near horizon.  After a point, the license fee will no longer make sense.  There are still HP scenes that could be done but, without new, interesting content, it's a dwindling project.  That's just my $.02, I could be wrong.  I often have been.  Just ask my ex-wife.

Well...The last Harry Potter book and movie came out a decade or more ago.  Since then, Universal has invested hundreds of millions of dollars developing entire and growing Harry Potter worlds at its Orlando and California amusement parks, and stage productions have opened in both London and New York.  And, the Harry Potter Lego sets continue to sell well enough to justify an entire product line.  I'd say that HP is far from being done based on the Universal investment alone.

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I disagree.  Star Wars is their biggest money-maker, their anchor.  Also, there is continuous SW output to keep interests alive and for present/future generations.  Harry Potter is pretty much finished.  The Fantastic Beasts hasn't been that popular and no new HP is on the near horizon.  After a point, the license fee will no longer make sense.  There are still HP scenes that could be done but, without new, interesting content, it's a dwindling project.  That's just my $.02, I could be wrong.  I often have been.  Just ask my ex-wife.
There are 4 more Fantastic Beasts movies planned. The second should be released in 2021 and the third was supposed to start filming already but was delayed due to Covid-19.

Those movies will provide plenty of new content. I agree that the Fantastic Beast sets weren't as popular as normal Harry Potter sets, but apparently the movie did well enough for the studio to agree to 4 more movies. Perhaps with the new movies we will get better sets, I mean a suitcase and carriage aren't exactly what I would call Lego trying their hardest. Those sets were underwhelming to say the least.
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2 hours ago, Shortbus311 said:

There are 4 more Fantastic Beasts movies planned. The second should be released in 2021 and the third was supposed to start filming already but was delayed due to Covid-19.

Those movies will provide plenty of new content. I agree that the Fantastic Beast sets weren't as popular as normal Harry Potter sets, but apparently the movie did well enough for the studio to agree to 4 more movies. Perhaps with the new movies we will get better sets, I mean a suitcase and carriage aren't exactly what I would call Lego trying their hardest. Those sets were underwhelming to say the least.

A slight error, movie #2 came out in 2018.  #1 was 2016.  #3 was supposed to start filming in March 2020.  There are supposed to be five total movies.  I found a good article about the series here: https://www.digitalspy.com/movies/a675773/fantastic-beasts-3-4-5-release-date-cast-plot-news-trailer/

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6 hours ago, raindog said:

I disagree.  Star Wars is their biggest money-maker, their anchor.  Also, there is continuous SW output to keep interests alive and for present/future generations.  Harry Potter is pretty much finished.  The Fantastic Beasts hasn't been that popular and no new HP is on the near horizon.  After a point, the license fee will no longer make sense.  There are still HP scenes that could be done but, without new, interesting content, it's a dwindling project.  That's just my $.02, I could be wrong.  I often have been.  Just ask my ex-wife.

The 400$ Harry Potter castle had a sales rank under 1000. Most of the other smaller sets were 200-600. I can guarantee there is no loss of interest.

Most younger children I know have read the entire Harry Potter series multiple times and still love the content.

It may die down in popularity in 2-3 years but by then they will have reinvigorated this money machine.

Edit: I am terrified of direct remakes, copies and re-releases. The 100$ castle lasted incredibly long through the holidays at insane volume so their have been an unfathomable number of these produced.

Edited by landphieran
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7 hours ago, gmpirate said:

What I was saying is, I think HP may become a steady theme like Star Wars.  It's not going away.  They will retire the Great Hall, but like the MF, they will just bring in another.

In the past, The HP sets coordinated with the movie releases.  And like any theme, some sets lingered longer than others.  I believe during the last run, DA was the last to linger on.

Thanks, I didn't realize the past versions phased in and out w/ the movie releases.

So this current phase could be viewed as being released in parallel w/ Fantastic Beast...sort of.

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6 minutes ago, Ogelwoc said:

If a set is on discount at LEGO high street store, is that a clear indication that it is on b the way out? Asking as I saw one of the HP sets is on sales at my local store whilst stonewars.de has mentioned it’s no longer return end of the year. Hmmmm

Which sets? Lego Store?

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14 minutes ago, Ogelwoc said:

My bad. Was in a rush to post and miss it. Whomping Willow.
Yes, LEGO store.

That's interesting since it had not been discounted like others before.  Generally speaking its does not bean the set is retiring but since this was supposed to anyway . . .

I would say however, that when Lego discount a set it is a good indicator of retirement "most" of the time.  We could name lots of exceptions . . .

Edited by gmpirate
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3 minutes ago, gmpirate said:

That's interesting since it had not been discounted like others before.  Generally speaking its does not bean the set is retiring but since this was supposed to anyway . . .

I would say however, that when Lego discount a set it is a good indicator of retirement "most" of the time.  We could name lots of exceptions . . .

Well, given that the 4 Privet Drive set also comes with a Flying Ford Anglia, WW might be seen as "redundant". 

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For you guys that have been around the block (heh), how do the non-EOY retirements typically work? I know COVID makes things potentially screwy, but do the same sort of lists tend to pop up, or are there a lot of surprises/sudden disappearances of sets?  Is there another production turnover mid-year, or are there just sort of scattered instances throughout?  

Jesse

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