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Retiring Soon - open speculation


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37 minutes ago, Shortbus311 said:
1 hour ago, BrickBuilderX said:
Is the list a few pages back consisting of the sets retiring in July complete or will there be more sets retiring?

That is probably it. July retirement lists typically aren't as long as end of year lists.

I thought there was just some speculation by people?  Is there a list I missed somewhere?

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I love it when interesting files come across one's desk.
Possible retirements for end of July...
Theme Product No. Item Description English Retail
 Launch Date
Retail
 Delete Date
City Fire 60213 Dock Side Fire 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
DUPLO Disney TM 10898 My First Mickey Build 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
DUPLO My First 10572 LEGO DUPLO All-in-One-Box-of-Fun 01/01/2014 31/07/2020
DUPLO My First 10885 My First Fun Puzzle 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
DUPLO Town 10812 Truck & Tracked Excavator 01/06/2016 31/07/2020
DUPLO Town 10904 Baby Animals 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Jurassic World 75931 Dilophosaurus Outpost Attack 20/04/2018 31/07/2020
LEGO Creator 31078 Treehouse Treasures 01/06/2018 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41335 Mia's Tree House 01/01/2018 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41362 Heartlake City Supermarket 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41372 Stephanie's Gymnastics Show 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41376 Turtles Rescue Mission 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41383 Olivia's Hamster Playground 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Overwatch 75973 D.Va & Reinhardt 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Overwatch 75974 Bastion 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Overwatch 75975 Watchpoint: Gibraltar 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
MINDSTORMS 31313 LEGO MINDSTORMS EV3 01/09/2013 31/07/2020
Minecraft 21143 The Nether Portal 01/03/2018 31/07/2020
Minecraft 21145 The Skull Arena 01/08/2018 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70666 The Golden Dragon 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70667 Kai's Blade Cycle & Zane's Snowmobile 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70671 Lloyd's Journey 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70681 Spinjitzu Slam - Lloyd 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70682 Spinjitzu Slam - Jay 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70683 Spinjitzu Slam - Zane 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70684 Spinjitzu Slam - Kai vs. Samurai 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75214 Anakin's Jedi Starfighter 01/08/2018 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75232 Kylo Ren & Sith Trooper 01/12/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75234 AT-AP Walker 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75236 Duel on Starkiller Base 01/04/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75237 TIE Fighter Attack 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75238 Action Battle Endor Assault 01/04/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75239 Action Battle Hoth Generator Attack 01/04/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76113 Spider-Man Bike Rescue 01/12/2018 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76114 Spider-Man's Spider Crawler 01/12/2018 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76118 Mr. Freeze Batcycle Battle 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76127 Captain Marvel and The Skrull Attack 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76137 Batman vs. The Riddler Robbery 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76138 Batman and The Joker Escape 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Technic 42088 Cherry Picker 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Technic 42097 Compact Crawler Crane 01/08/2019 31/07/2020
Toy Story 4 10767 Duke Caboom's Stunt Show 22/04/2019 31/07/2020
Toy Story 4 10768 Buzz & Bo Peep's Playground Adventure 22/04/2019 31/07/2020
Toy Story 4 10770 Buzz & Woody's Carnival Mania! 22/04/2019 31/07/2020
Enjoy.....
 
This is the list he was talking about posted a few pages back.
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1 hour ago, Shortbus311 said:
On 2/25/2020 at 10:54 AM, thebrickdad said:
I love it when interesting files come across one's desk.
Possible retirements for end of July...
Theme Product No. Item Description English Retail
 Launch Date
Retail
 Delete Date
City Fire 60213 Dock Side Fire 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
DUPLO Disney TM 10898 My First Mickey Build 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
DUPLO My First 10572 LEGOemoji2400.png DUPLOemoji2400.png All-in-One-Box-of-Fun 01/01/2014 31/07/2020
DUPLO My First 10885 My First Fun Puzzle 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
DUPLO Town 10812 Truck & Tracked Excavator 01/06/2016 31/07/2020
DUPLO Town 10904 Baby Animals 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Jurassic World 75931 Dilophosaurus Outpost Attack 20/04/2018 31/07/2020
LEGO Creator 31078 Treehouse Treasures 01/06/2018 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41335 Mia's Tree House 01/01/2018 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41362 Heartlake City Supermarket 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41372 Stephanie's Gymnastics Show 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41376 Turtles Rescue Mission 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Friends 41383 Olivia's Hamster Playground 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Overwatch 75973 D.Va & Reinhardt 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Overwatch 75974 Bastion 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
LEGO Overwatch 75975 Watchpoint: Gibraltar 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
MINDSTORMS 31313 LEGOemoji2400.png MINDSTORMSemoji2400.png EV3 01/09/2013 31/07/2020
Minecraft 21143 The Nether Portal 01/03/2018 31/07/2020
Minecraft 21145 The Skull Arena 01/08/2018 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70666 The Golden Dragon 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70667 Kai's Blade Cycle & Zane's Snowmobile 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70671 Lloyd's Journey 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70681 Spinjitzu Slam - Lloyd 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70682 Spinjitzu Slam - Jay 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70683 Spinjitzu Slam - Zane 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Ninjago 70684 Spinjitzu Slam - Kai vs. Samurai 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75214 Anakin's Jedi Starfighteremoji769.png 01/08/2018 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75232 Kylo Renemoji769.png & Sith Trooperemoji769.png 01/12/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75234 AT-APemoji769.png Walker 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75236 Duel on Starkiller Baseemoji769.png 01/04/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75237 TIE Fighteremoji769.png Attack 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75238 Action Battle Endoremoji769.png Assault 01/04/2019 31/07/2020
Star Wars TM 75239 Action Battle Hothemoji769.png Generator Attack 01/04/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76113 Spider-Man Bike Rescue 01/12/2018 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76114 Spider-Man's Spider Crawler 01/12/2018 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76118 Mr. Freezeemoji769.png Batcycleemoji769.png Battle 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76127 Captain Marvel and The Skrull Attack 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76137 Batmanemoji769.png vs. The Riddleremoji769.png Robbery 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Super Heroes 76138 Batmanemoji769.png and The Jokeremoji769.png Escape 01/06/2019 31/07/2020
Technic 42088 Cherry Picker 01/01/2019 31/07/2020
Technic 42097 Compact Crawler Crane 01/08/2019 31/07/2020
Toy Story 4 10767 Duke Caboom's Stunt Show 22/04/2019 31/07/2020
Toy Story 4 10768 Buzz & Bo Peep's Playground Adventure 22/04/2019 31/07/2020
Toy Story 4 10770 Buzz & Woody's Carnival Mania! 22/04/2019 31/07/2020
Enjoy.....
 

This is the list he was talking about posted a few pages back.

Thanks!  I didn't go far enough back when I checked.

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1 hour ago, BrickBuilderX said:

Thanks for your replies everyone! 

When do you think the Disney Castle will retire? I heard it was the end of the year but it has been out of stock in the UK for almost a month now.

on this side of the pond pretty much all the LEGO LEGO Shop at Home exclusives are "temporary out of stock" which we believe mainly attributed to the Mexico plant shut down.  Hearing about a shortage of Disney Castle in the UK suggest that its scarceness is not due to the Mexico plant issue...is the big Hogwarts Castle readily available over there?

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2 minutes ago, $20 on joe vs dan said:

on this side of the pond pretty much all the LEGO LEGO Shop at Home exclusives are "temporary out of stock" which we believe mainly attributed to the Mexico plant shut down.  Hearing about a shortage of Disney Castle in the UK suggest that its scarceness is not due to the Mexico plant issue...is the big Hogwarts Castle readily available over there?

No, Hogwarts is also out of stock.

A number of popular sets have been jumping between being on backorder and out of stock the last few weeks which I think is likely due to demand and as you mentioned, factory closures.

The Disney Castle does have an 'email me when back in stock' option so hopefully they will get more stock and it hasn't already retired.

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32 minutes ago, elmaslıefendi said:

When someone leaks it :) should be around August/September usually. I did post it last year & got nothing but querky replies. Won't do that again. 

I'm with Cladner on this -- don't let the haters win. I appreciate the info you're willing to share.

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So many unanswered questions, if only we knew what the list of retiring sets will be? Somebody help please lol :)

On the fence about the big hogwarts castle,

On the fence about the disney castle,

On the fence about the modular's,

On the fence about the ideas sets,

I guess you just have to buy whatever you can, if you can afford it. Most sets may be hard to come by at christmas time so theirs good money retired or not. Soo many good sets out there at the moment also.

I am edging towards the disney castle over the hogwarts castle on overall profit, disney castle as we heard was meant to retire last year surely it goes this year ha or maybe not. 

This year will be really interesting, whats your money on folks?

 

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4 minutes ago, raulaco said:

On the fence about the big hogwarts castle,

 

 

I panic bought the Harry Potter Castle off Brink link at MSRP for a personal build last week. Personally, I do not believe it will retire, but I'm not taking any chances. 

It is impossible to accurately predict what this virus will do to LEGO products and reselling in general. It is possible that buying at RRP is the new 30% off for desirable sets which may unexpectedly retire. I do believe if some of these sets do indeed retire, there will be limited numbers in most average reseller hands.

On the flip side say LEGO ramps production on all sets before the holiday season, but or economy continues on its deflationary path. Prices would hit the floor with all the overproduced inventory. 

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8 minutes ago, dennugsmello said:

LEGO ramps production on all sets before the holiday season

this is pretty much impossible...the Mexico plant is still closed and currently 2 months behind schedule (I doubt their pace in the best of times left much room for "ramping up" anyway). Every other manufacturing sector is experiencing reduced efficiency due to new health restrictions....we've already seen what happens when LEGO tries to ramp up their other factories...ie every Exclusive sets on LEGO Shop at Home is OOS.

...and thru it all TLG still prioritized getting brand new never heard of Monkey turds (w/ a ton of Chinese writing on box cover) out to market...so the decision makers are clearly not reading the room

Edited by $20 on joe vs dan
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As others have said: You can't really predict. Even if you have the list, it will only help you in knowing what to buy - but which month it retires is a different story. It's pretty much safe to say the Black Friday carnage on Shop at Home last year won't repeat itself. So maybe no discounts at all as all the other retailers won't go down if LEGO sells out. And there is the possibility of sets disappearing without them producing anymore... it will say toos in June but it may be gone already...

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7 minutes ago, $20 on joe vs dan said:

this is pretty much impossible.

Nothing is impossible. LEGO sales are clearly up, and not just because of factory shutdowns restricting supply. See everyone's recent ebay/amazon sales to see real demand. You cannot say LEGO won't see this as an golden opportunity and attempt to to boost production.

Now, are they cognoscente enough of the impending deflationary period to not overproduce once the dollars disappear? Must be some interesting discussions in their boardrooms. 

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4 minutes ago, $20 on joe vs dan said:

yes..if the entire resources of the US could not make enough masks to protect healthcare workers...going on 3 months now...I say making enough precision-based plastic bricks to meet Christmas demand is INDEED impossible

America values precision bricks more than lives. I would say there is a good chance.  

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2 hours ago, elmaslıefendi said:

As others have said: You can't really predict. Even if you have the list, it will only help you in knowing what to buy - but which month it retires is a different story. It's pretty much safe to say the Black Friday carnage on Shop at Home last year won't repeat itself. So maybe no discounts at all as all the other retailers won't go down if LEGO sells out. And there is the possibility of sets disappearing without them producing anymore... it will say toos in June but it may be gone already...

Could you give any more info or hints on what sets you are referring to as already being gone/going soon? 

I would assume they're not on the list we already have?

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