Retiring Soon - open speculation

[Val-E]

2 minutes ago, mauro23 said:

3 sold today on Ebay.de at about 88 Euro incl. shipping... Whatever this means, still not clear to me.

 

That´s 3 more than Pet Shop! Clear best seller.

[cladner]

Elsa's Sparkling Ice Castle is C2C at USA LEGO Shop at Home. 

Anna and Kristoff Sleigh adventure is backordered...... hmmmm.....

Edited November 26, 2016 by cladner

[Guest TabbyBoy]

14 minutes ago, mauro23 said:

3 sold today on Ebay.de at about 88 Euro incl. shipping... Whatever this means, still not clear to me.

 

Surprising, I'd expect WALL-E to be in that position not that POS ;-)

[Therightbruno]

I have 2 mazes ordered at Amazon 10 days ago that would be sent out soon when back in stock. Given the recent sold out at SAH does this means it's no longer likely I'll ever receive them?

[zekzek]

2 minutes ago, Therightbruno said:

does this means it's no longer likely I'll ever receive them?

Well you'll never know - I ordered around the same time, mine got shipped after a few days (seal code in the 20ies). So they might actually fine some more in their warehouse. Or they get cancellations and returns.

[ChristopherJB]

I can smell some panic buying here on the Maze. Get that F5 going.

[Val-E]

SOH C2C at EU shop. The fat lady will sing anytime now.

[mauro23]

10 minutes ago, Val-E said:

SOH C2C at EU shop. The fat lady will sing anytime now.

I expect 1000 Euro for that in 2 years at this time... Anything else would be really disappointing.

Edited November 27, 2016 by mauro23

[Val-E]

2 minutes ago, mauro23 said:

I expect 1000 Euro for that in 2 years at this time... Anything else would be really disappointing.

If you sell them in packs of 3, maybe.

[mauro23]

1 minute ago, Val-E said:

If you sell them in packs of 3, maybe.

I disagree...

[Guest TabbyBoy]

2 minutes ago, mauro23 said:

I expect 1000 Euro for that in 2 years at this time... Anything else would be really disappointing.

I think £249.99 in 3 years time... if you're lucky!

I also predict tears and sub-RRP offloading within a year.

 

[mauro23]

If this wil be really the case then we can forget LEGO investing...

I expect 1000 but would be also happy with 600 in two years...

[Guest TabbyBoy]

2 minutes ago, mauro23 said:

I disagree...

Packs of 6 then?

[Val-E]

1 minute ago, mauro23 said:

I disagree...

I dsagree with your disagreement. On what planet is a set that has been out for 3 years, marked as retiring soon  and heavily discounted going to have the level of scarcity to take it to 3.5 times RRP in 2 years and in the current market? You´d need 5000  Mars Rovers to find someone going to pay that.

[Guest TabbyBoy]

4 minutes ago, mauro23 said:

If this wil be really the case then we can forget LEGO investing...

I expect 1000 but would be also happy with 600 in two years...

Seriously, I reckon £400 at the most in 2yrs and then it'll plateau. Remember, the "Taj Mahal" days are long gone!

I know... let's get one of the admins to set up a game for us to predict it's highest SOLD price on eBay on 27NOV17. I'll say £329.99 plus P&P.

This is why I sold all my Tower Bridges (old 2012 boxes) at break-even as I can buy again later on at a bigger discount when there's a hint of EOL.

Edited November 27, 2016 by TabbyBoy

[Val-E]

2 minutes ago, TabbyBoy said:

Seriously, I reckon £400 at the most in 2yrs and then it'll plateau. Remember, the "Taj Mahal" days are long gone!

I know... let's get one of the admins to set up a game for us to predict it's highest selling price on eBay on 27NOV17. I'll say £329.99 plus P&P.

This is why I sold all my Tower Bridges (old 2012 boxes) at break-even as I can buy again later on at a bigger discount when there's a hint of EOL.

TB is reduced tomorrow at SAH. Is that a big enough hint?

[mauro23]

600 at least - I know that Taj Mahal days are over, but Taj Mahal is not valuated at 600 but at 2500 Euro... (3 years after retirment...)

[king156]

3 minutes ago, TabbyBoy said:

Seriously, I reckon £400 at the most in 2yrs and then it'll plateau. Remember, the "Taj Mahal" days are long gone!

I know... let's get one of the admins to set up a game for us to predict it's highest selling price on eBay on 27NOV17. I'll say £329.99 plus P&P.

This is why I sold all my Tower Bridges (old 2012 boxes) at break-even as I can buy again later on at a bigger discount when there's a hint of EOL.

And do you think Tabby that TBs could be going next year ? Or with a mass retirement that could be a different story hmm

[Val-E]

I say 400-450. I´ll set up a poll on SOH thread if I can so as not to derail this thread further.

[Guest TabbyBoy]

Just now, Val-E said:

TB is reduced tomorrow at SAH. Is that a big enough hint?

I don't think so as it's a huge seller and I'm not taking the bait just yet. I can always jump on John Lewis if/when the time comes as they ofter price-match LEGO Shop at Home asap. It has to be Sold Out before I buy any more but, I just have to act quickly. I hate stockpiling big boxes!

1 minute ago, king156 said:

And do you think Tabby that TBs could be going next year ? Or with a mass retirement that could be a different story hmm

I'd take a stab at 2020, same year as the T1 ;-)

[king156]

2 minutes ago, TabbyBoy said:

I don't think so as it's a huge seller and I'm not taking the bait just yet. I can always jump on John Lewis if/when the time comes as they ofter price-match LEGO Shop at Home asap. It has to be Sold Out before I buy any more but, I just have to act quickly. I hate stockpiling big boxes!

I'd take a stab at 2020, same year as the T1 ;-)

how do you know TB will be reduced tomorrow ?

wrong person

[mauro23]

Just now, king156 said:

how do you know TB will be reduced tomorrow ?

– LEGO® City Ausbruch aus der Polizei-Station (60047)
– LEGO® Creator Expert Tower Bridge (10214)
– LEGO® Friends Heartlake Reiterhof (41126)
– LEGO® Star Wars Millennium Falcon (75105)
– LEGO® Technic Schaufelradbagger (42055)

[Val-E]

Just now, mauro23 said:

– LEGO City Ausbruch aus der Polizei-Station (60047)
– LEGO Creator Expert Tower Bridge (10214)
– LEGO Friends Heartlake Reiterhof (41126)
– LEGO Star Wars Millennium Falcon (75105)
– LEGO Technic Schaufelradbagger (42055)

At least one of those sets will retire this year!

[Guest TabbyBoy]

10 minutes ago, Val-E said:

At least one of those sets will retire this year!

60047 ready for the rehash in January?

[Val-E]

1 minute ago, TabbyBoy said:

60047 ready for the rehash in January?

maybe sooner!