Retiring Soon - open speculation

[gmpirate]

1 hour ago, freakchem said:

what is the website you are mentioning? I only see **************

If you have to ask . . .

[MotorCityMuscle]

1 hour ago, freakchem said:

what is the website you are mentioning? I only see **************

I guess because it’s a competitive website or some other unwritten reason? Idk, I saw that after I wrote it but got lazy. Brick Econ Omy. Com.

They are basing it off of past retirement dates of similar sets with an expected retirement of early-to-mid 2021

[freakchem]

6 hours ago, MotorCityMuscle said:

I guess because it’s a competitive website or some other unwritten reason? Idk, I saw that after I wrote it but got lazy. Brick Econ Omy. Com.

They are basing it off of past retirement dates of similar sets with an expected retirement of early-to-mid 2021

Thanks for sharing. Never heard about this place. I'll take a look at it!

[raindog]

6 hours ago, MotorCityMuscle said:

I guess because it’s a competitive website or some other unwritten reason? Idk, I saw that after I wrote it but got lazy. Brick Econ Omy. Com.

They are basing it off of past retirement dates of similar sets with an expected retirement of early-to-mid 2021

It's wonky as all get out and I don't trust it.  In the past, it has listed sets as retired that weren't and I find its "predictions" (guesses) as suspect.

[$20 on joe vs dan]

6 hours ago, MotorCityMuscle said:

They are basing it off of past retirement dates of similar sets with an expected retirement of early-to-mid 2021

this matrix is good for general "informed" retirement speculation; but by far not fool-proof. 

Is it actionable intel?  I personally would not bet the farm on it...maybe good enough to get one or two at RRP; and good enough to go "deep" at 15+% off (if we're talkin UCS MILF...30+% for most other sets)

[freakchem]

22 minutes ago, $20 on joe vs dan said:

this matrix is good for general "informed" retirement speculation; but by far not fool-proof. 

Is it actionable intel?  I personally would not bet the farm on it...maybe good enough to get one or two at RRP; and good enough to go "deep" at 15+% off (if we're talkin UCS MILF...30+% for most other sets)

IMO I would leave it alone at RRP, may get one or two at 15% off. But definately not too deep. You never know how long these iconic UCS sets going to linger, also with the high probability of remake.

[Deingesicht]

It's not retiring. That site has the roller coaster retiring which won't happen either 

[Loghamel]

Old news, but I made myself a list and thought I'd share.  No surprises. 

Sets that weren't on my first list:

 

10268		Vestas Wind Turbine
10768		Buzz & Bo Peep's Playground Adventure
10812		Truck & Tracked Excavator
10884		My First Balancing Animals
21140		The Chicken Coop
21156		BigFig Creeper™ and Ocelot
31086		Futuristic Flyer
31087		Dune Buggy
31103		Rocket Truck
40197		Wedding Favor Set 2018
41253		Lonesome Flats Raft Adventure
41256		Rainbow Caterbus
41379		Heartlake City Restaurant
41381		Rescue Mission Boat
41397		Juice Truck
42082		Rough Terrain Crane
42101		Buggy
42104		Race Truck
43170		Moana's Ocean Adventure
43173		Aurora's Royal Carriage
43174		Mulan's Storybook Adventures
43178		Cinderella's Castle Celebration
43183		Moana's Island Home
60203		Ski Resort
60206		Sky Police Jet Patrol
60207		Sky Police Drone Chase
60208		Sky Police Parachute Arrest
60212		Barbecue Burn Out
60217		Fire Plane
60219		Construction Loader
60219		Construction Loader
60222		Snow Groomer
60224		Satellite Service Mission
60225		Rover Testing Drive
60227		Lunar Space Station
60230		People Pack - Space Research and Development
60231		Fire Chief Response Truck
60232		Garage Center
60233		Donut Shop Opening
60234		People Pack - Fun Fair
60255		Stunt Team
60257		Service Station
70418		J.B.'s Ghost Lab
70419		Wrecked Shrimp Boat
70421		El Fuego's Stunt Truck
70422		Shrimp Shack Attack
70423		Paranormal Intercept Bus 3000
70424		Ghost Train Express
70425		Newbury Haunted High School
70427		Welcome to the Hidden Side
70428		Jack's Beach Buggy
70429		El Fuego's Stunt Plane
70431		The Lighthouse of Darkness
70432		Haunted Fairground
70433		J.B.'s Submarine
70434		Supernatural Race Car
70435		Newbury Abandoned Prison
70436		Phantom Fire Truck 3000
70437		Mystery Castle
70665		The Samurai Mech
70666		The Golden Dragon
70668		Jay's Storm Fighter
70670		Monastery of Spinjitzu
70671		Lloyd's Journey
70672		Cole's Dirt Bike
70673		ShuriCopter
70674		Fire Fang
70675		Katana 4x4
70677		Land Bounty
70678		Castle of the Forsaken Emperor
71361		Character Packs
71702		Golden Mech
71713		Empire Dragon
75159		Death Star
75234		AT-AP™ Walker
75240		Major Vonreg's TIE Fighter
75244		Tantive IV
75246		Death Star Cannon
75248		Resistance A-Wing Starfighter
75250		Pasaana Speeder Chase
75258		Anakin's Podracer™ – 20th Anniversary Edition
75894		1967 Mini Cooper S Rally and 2018 MINI John Cooper Works Buggy
75934		Dilophosaurus on the Loose
75937		Triceratops Rampage
75938		T. rex vs Dino-Mech Battle
75945		Expecto Patronum
75946		Hungarian Horntail Triwizard Challenge
75956		Quidditc Match
75958		Beauxbatons' Carriage:
75965		The Rise of Voldemort
75977		Junkrat & Roadhog
76113		Spider-Man Bike Rescue
76114		Spider-Man's Spider Crawler
76115		Spider Mech vs. Venom
76119		Batmobile™: Pursuit of The Joker
76123		Captain America: Outriders Attack
76124		War Machine Buster
76126		Avengers Ultimate Quinjet
76128		Molten Man Battle
76130		Stark Jet and the Drone Attack
76131		Avengers Compound Battle
76137		Batman™ vs. The Riddler™ Robbery
76142		Avengers Speeder Bike Attack
76144		Avengers Hulk Helicopter Rescue
76147		Vulture's Trucker Robbery
76148		Spider-Man vs. Doc Ock
76149		The Menace of Mysterio
80104		Lion Dance
80105		Chinese New Year Temple Fair
88000		Power Functions AAA Battery Box
88002		Power Functions Train Motor
88003		Power Functions L-Motor

[coelian]

What are your picks for Architecture sets to retire this year? The sets currently available (excluding 2020) are,

21028 New York City 2016

21034 London 2017

21042 Statue of Liberty 2018

21043 San Francisco 2019

21044 Paris 2019

21045 Trafalgar Square 2019

21046 Empire State Building 2019

The ones in bold are my guesses... Maybe NYC will go though, there are too many well known cities in that list. FYI, Tower Eiffel stuck around for 5 years and NYC/London have been around longer than that.

[joneyyy1981]

6 minutes ago, coelian said:

What are your picks for Architecture sets to retire this year? The sets currently available (excluding 2020) are,

21028 New York City 2016

21034 London 2017

21042 Statue of Liberty 2018

21043 San Francisco 2019

21044 Paris 2019

21045 Trafalgar Square 2019

21046 Empire State Building 2019

The ones in bold are my guesses... Maybe NYC will go though, there are too many well known cities in that list. FYI, Tower Eiffel stuck around for 5 years and NYC/London have been around longer than that.

100% agree with this, i have already started stacking san fran & statue of lib from last years sales

only problem for me is the london, nyc have been around for too long, & with limited tourism going on, if any time is good to retire these its now. so ill tread carefully

[coelian]

I'm guessing for every Statue of Liberty you make more with 2 San frans just thinking in terms of volume, the landmark series moves much more slowly than the skyline series. I will pick up Liberty and Trafalgar just for variety but probably hit more of SF. NYC and London I will buy only when they hit a very good price just in case they go.

[gugclo]

Does anyone know when we can expect to start seeing 2021 retirement list rumours from promobricks/stonewars?  When did they release their first 2020 retirement list rumours?

[marcandre]

Came out in October last year. 

[biking_tiger]

I think Stonewars had some rumors about mid-year retirements in February last year... no record of it but my purchases that time based on their predictions (Nether Portals and Anakin's Jedi Starfighter). They do have an article dated 5 June 2020 regarding mid-year EOL. 

[Brad W]

We are still waiting for the actual 2020 end of year retirements here in US. 

[Belac]

On 2/12/2021 at 6:44 AM, biking_tiger said:

I think Stonewars had some rumors about mid-year retirements in February last year... no record of it but my purchases that time based on their predictions (Nether Portals and Anakin's Jedi Starfighter). They do have an article dated 5 June 2020 regarding mid-year EOL. 

today list from site "Stonewars" .   thank you Stonewars  https://www.stonewars.de/news/end-of-life-maerz-2021/

Edited February 13, 2021 by Belac

[Jessekidd13]

The Ninjago "Temple of Nonsense" is awesome.

Edited February 13, 2021 by Jessekidd13

[cladner]

14 minutes ago, Jessekidd13 said:

The Ninjago "Temple of Nonsense" is awesome.

that's not the real name?   lol.

down and out in Oz..,,,

[Lobot]

Promobricks.de have just published a larger list of spring/summer retirements.

[joneyyy1981]

36 minutes ago, Lobot said:

Promobricks.de have just published a larger list of spring/summer retirements.

75935 Baryonyx Charrrrgghggeeeeeee

[Emvisawthatswho]

Promobricks.de have just published a larger list of spring/summer retirements.

Couple interesting ones. 75254 reminds me of Jabbas Palace 9516 when they stopped production due to a “resemblance of a mosque in Istanbul” among other accusations. The recent Gina Carano controversy may or may not be the reason, seems like it is, it it’s sent this minifigure through the roof on eBay.

[EctoG63AMG]

Hello all again,

After viewing the newest Promobricks retirement list I am looking to gauge people's opinions on the impending 75266 (Sith Troopers Battle Pack) retirement. I have yet to pick up multiples of this set (x50) for my own personal army building collection and have the following questions:

1. This set's current price is at $12.99 (Target and Amazon), is this a good buy, or hold out for a little less? In the past Target has discounted battle packs down to $9.99.
2. I know everyone has their opinions on the reliability of Promobricks, but it seems to be sort of a "gold standard" for retirement lists. What are everyone's thoughts on **************? The site has 75266 listed as retiring in Q1 2022. Is this site a good measure of retirement?

As always, any & all insight/advice/commentary is appreciated. As a side note, any word as to when 75273 (Poe's X Wing) may retire and get some sort of a discount finally? 

[thelovemachine]

21 minutes ago, EctoG63AMG said:

Hello all again,

After viewing the newest Promobricks retirement list I am looking to gauge people's opinions on the impending 75266 (Sith Troopers Battle Pack) retirement. I have yet to pick up multiples of this set (x50) for my own personal army building collection and have the following questions:

1. This set's current price is at $12.99 (Target and Amazon), is this a good buy, or hold out for a little less? In the past Target has discounted battle packs down to $9.99.
2. I know everyone has their opinions on the reliability of Promobricks, but it seems to be sort of a "gold standard" for retirement lists. What are everyone's thoughts on **************? The site has 75266 listed as retiring in Q1 2022. Is this site a good measure of retirement?

As always, any & all insight/advice/commentary is appreciated. As a side note, any word as to when 75273 (Poe's X Wing) may retire and get some sort of a discount finally? 

Lowest this set has gone has been $11.99.  Battle packs generally are not bad but definitely a bit of hit and miss and price point matters the most at which you buy.  Still could be a long hold.  All depends probably on how well SW interest holds.  Pre Mandolorian TV, most SW sets wer duds.  just my two cents.  i still have a lot of the black stormtrooper battle packs that don't sell from 4 years ago.

[Achilles]

1 hour ago, EctoG63AMG said:

Hello all again,

After viewing the newest Promobricks retirement list I am looking to gauge people's opinions on the impending 75266 (Sith Troopers Battle Pack) retirement. I have yet to pick up multiples of this set (x50) for my own personal army building collection and have the following questions:

1. This set's current price is at $12.99 (Target and Amazon), is this a good buy, or hold out for a little less? In the past Target has discounted battle packs down to $9.99.
2. I know everyone has their opinions on the reliability of Promobricks, but it seems to be sort of a "gold standard" for retirement lists. What are everyone's thoughts on **************? The site has 75266 listed as retiring in Q1 2022. Is this site a good measure of retirement?

As always, any & all insight/advice/commentary is appreciated. As a side note, any word as to when 75273 (Poe's X Wing) may retire and get some sort of a discount finally? 

Basically, all the star wars Battle Packs in the last several years have had a shelf life of 1-2 years. 75266 came out Dec 19, so for it to retire this summer, or at the absolute latest, Dec of this coming year, seems like a sure bet.

If it retires mid year, depending on your retail clearance opportunities, I'd say there's probably a good shot at getting this at half off. If it retires next holiday season, it could be tougher, but still possible. 

If you're holding out to buy 50 for personal use, I'd say that you definitely have good opportunities in the next year to get them at $10 or less. Whether or not the total of $100 possible savings (10$ vs 12$ x50) is worth it to you, is up to you to decide. I can say that basically all the major retailers have rows of them near me, and they do seem to be decent sellers.

 

 

[KShine]

1 hour ago, EctoG63AMG said:

After viewing the newest Promobricks retirement list I am looking to gauge people's opinions on the impending 75266 (Sith Troopers Battle Pack) retirement. I have yet to pick up multiples of this set (x50) for my own personal army building collection and have the following questions:

1. This set's current price is at $12.99 (Target and Amazon), is this a good buy, or hold out for a little less? In the past Target has discounted battle packs down to $9.99.

If you are intending to buy 50 personal use, buy 80 or so now.

If it retires early, sell the extra 30 in a year or two for $30-$40 each.

If it goes down to 9.99, just buy more - I don't see the problem.