trekgate502 Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Well, I'm on record since several months ago saying that I think DS is done by the end of the year. I just don't need more than the 17 I already have. I'm comfortable with my stack of GE, but I would add to my 12 HH if I caught them in stock somewhere. I picked up four TB's from walmart.com during their $90 off random sale they had earlier this year. I would have bought more, but then they disappeared, and when they came back, they were MSRP again. I'm not certain enough that the set is EOL this year to buy more at MSRP right now. I'm slowly buying a few other sets that don't seem to be on people's radar right now, but I was serious about what I said before; brickpickers can create their own short-term EOL effect with panic buying, and after watching TH earlier in the month, I don't want to inadvertently trigger something like that for a set I'm currently accumulating. If you go back far enough in the PS thread, I think you will find that I was the first to note that TH was limit 2 at LEGO Shop at Home. Then NMM posted that in the TH thread, a couple weeks later it went out of stock somewhere, and then *BOOM*. Within 48 hours it was gone everywhere. I'm not looking to shoot myself in the foot like that if I can help it! ghost Dad great post thank you for taking the time I appreciate it you're okay in my book! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trekgate502 Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Well, I'm on record since several months ago saying that I think DS is done by the end of the year. I just don't need more than the 17 I already have. I'm comfortable with my stack of GE, but I would add to my 12 HH if I caught them in stock somewhere. I picked up four TB's from walmart.com during their $90 off random sale they had earlier this year. I would have bought more, but then they disappeared, and when they came back, they were MSRP again. I'm not certain enough that the set is EOL this year to buy more at MSRP right now. I'm slowly buying a few other sets that don't seem to be on people's radar right now, but I was serious about what I said before; brickpickers can create their own short-term EOL effect with panic buying, and after watching TH earlier in the month, I don't want to inadvertently trigger something like that for a set I'm currently accumulating. If you go back far enough in the PS thread, I think you will find that I was the first to note that TH was limit 2 at LEGO Shop at Home. Then NMM posted that in the TH thread, a couple weeks later it went out of stock somewhere, and then *BOOM*. Within 48 hours it was gone everywhere. I'm not looking to shoot myself in the foot like that if I can help it! ghost Dad great post thank you for taking the time I appreciate it you're okay in my book! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miami Bomb Squad Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 (edited) Whether TH or PS retires this Year or Not, 2014 is and will be a fantastic year for Lego investors. We had Many Cash Cows retiring or on the brink of retirement this year.....Thank You. Sit back, relax and have an ice cream. Edited October 9, 2014 by Miami Bomb Squad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bold-Arrow Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Whether TH or PS retires this Year or Not, 2013 is and will be a fantastic year for Lego investors. We had Many Cash Cows retiring or on the brink of retirement this year.....Thank You. Sit back, relax and have an ice cream.2014? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miami Bomb Squad Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Thanks BA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GhostDad Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 2013 was great too! We had FB, which I stocked up on, and WCS, which I thought was a waste at $20, since it just came with an ugly helicopter and some "Deadpool" guy I'd never heard of... Honestly, Deadpool? What was his mother thinking? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gmontgomery Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Any thoughts on if the Sopwith Camel will come back for the holidays? It seems to have remained in a sold out status for some time on LEGO Shop at Home, but I have a hard time believing it is truly gone when the VW Camper is still going strong (limit 5 on LEGO Shop at Home), but came out a year earlier. I see them as similar type and comparable cost Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hxckid88 Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Dont do that. 5 years from now youre gonna want those ds more. In 5 years you could just go to your lego store and buy one. I think you meant to say 50.typos happen just ask me. Over the last two months, I have bought GE, HH, two TH's, and a Tumbler. I'm already feeling the pinch. I'm almost to the point where I'm contemplating selling my DS's (I have three) for below retail so I can use that money to buy more TH's and Tumblers. Lego investing or investing in general. Probally isn't for you then. Good luck in your future endeavors. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoNotInsertIntoMouth Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 That is just because it has been around for such a long time. CAGR is calculated from date of release till today. So yes, if you bought this set in september 2009 your investment would only have grown 12.7% per year. Totally different story if you bought it closer to the retirement date. A lot of the other modulars have been around way longer than that and are posting 40-50% CAGRs. The quick jump is gone for the Fire Brigade. Its going to settle at 400$ maybe next year. Funny the people that swore this was an 800$ set. Look at the Haunted House. Barely more expensive, not even retired and its passed the fire brigade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tractorboy Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Any thoughts on if the Sopwith Camel will come back for the holidays? It seems to have remained in a sold out status for some time on LEGO Shop at Home, but I have a hard time believing it is truly gone when the VW Camper is still going strong (limit 5 on LEGO Shop at Home), but came out a year earlier. I see them as similar type and comparable cost I wouldn't be surprised if the VW was out-selling the Sopwith at 5 to 1 or more. With the Mini having just come out, one of those might have to go, and it's not going to be the one that's pulling in the most cash for Lego. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GhostDad Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Sure it is. Lego probably considers profits to some degree, but what matters most to them is when it is time for a set to go. That question is answered by The Schedule, which sits next to The Banhammer in an undisclosed location somewhere in the general vicinity of Area 51. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hxckid88 Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 (edited) Figured I'd put here since this is a rather active thread. But snap chat users.... Many very entertaining comiacon pics. And bids. For those that don't know it's a free app worth downloading for the comiccon pics. Edited October 10, 2014 by hxckid88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brickstoriches Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 (edited) The Brick Show guy said he has a source that told him the DS will retire by the first quarter of 2016. He said his source is usually correct. Edited October 10, 2014 by brickstoriches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
legomom25 Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 I believe the bricks show guy! Sent from my iPhone using Brickpicker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stephen_rockefeller Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Posted a year and a half ago Invest: When Will the LEGO Death Star Be Retired?: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neosphinx Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 (edited) Well, his comments are sometimes a bit lengthy but he has a point about the death star being an astounding set but not MF material. Two different type of set. No nut case will buy 10188 just for its minifigs. I loved the conclusion of hendrikjager on 10143 DSII . That would be a better contender to beat MF but it cant because its just a big wanna be 3/4th moon. I like the reviews... does real good work!! Because of his revue of Museum Break-In I saw potential in it and started gathering some. His contact said it would disapear when ewok came... still alive and kicking since I last checked. Edited October 11, 2014 by Neosphinx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hxckid88 Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Hxckid88 from BP posting. Those who I've been helping with setting up eBay and global shipping and such can continue to message me and many of the regulars have my Email. The death star has outlasted my patience. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holleman67 Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Hxckid88 from BP posting. Those who I've been helping with setting up eBay and global shipping and such can continue to message me and many of the regulars have my Email. The death star has outlasted my patience. Good riddance :-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waddamon Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Ds will be a fantastic investment over time. I read it somewhere where the discussion of cagr came up. All I have to say is measuring investment performance from when a set.is released is a useless endevour. Measureable performance from which to make real investment decisions can only be made when a set retires. Availability at retail is not an investment period. The skill and research of the investor will determine if you hold investments for many years prior to retirement or right before. A discount rate on the dollars invested can be used while a set is still available at retail. Either way i hope most keep away from 10188 due to confirmation bias. This will mean less supply later. Based on my only having 30 SSD instead of more, I think at least 40 10188 is my best plan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deeker Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 For those of you who have ordered a DS set, do they ship it in original shipping box, or in the typical Lego box? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stephen_rockefeller Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 All of mine have came in the original box. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waddamon Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Mine have been 50/50. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
legokent Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Mine came in the original lego box in a shipping box Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
king156 Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 what about GE if you in the uk also? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biniou Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 what about GE if you in the uk also? Cheers ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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