COVID-19 / Coronavirus Discussion

[jaisonline]

Table 1. Confirmed and suspected cases of COVID-19 acute respiratory disease reported by provinces, regions and cities in China, Data as 01 March 2020

Province/ Region/ City	Population (10,000s)	Daily			Cumulative
		Confirmed cases	Suspected cases	Deaths	Confirmed cases	Deaths
Hubei	5917	570	64	34	66907	2761
Guangdong	11346	0	1	0	1349	7
Henan	9605	0	0	1	1272	22
Zhejiang	5737	0	0	0	1205	1
Hunan	6899	0	0	0	1018	4
Anhui	6324	0	0	0	990	6
Jiangxi	4648	0	0	0	935	1
Shandong	10047	0	0	0	756	6
Jiangsu	8051	0	0	0	631	0
Chongqing	3102	0	6	0	576	6
Sichuan	8341	0	1	0	538	3
Heilongjiang	3773	0	0	0	480	13
Beijing	2154	2	18	0	413	8
Shanghai	2424	0	10	0	337	3
Hebei	7556	0	0	0	318	6
Fujian	3941	0	0	0	296	1
Guangxi	4926	0	0	0	252	2
Shaanxi	3864	0	0	0	245	1
Yunnan	4830	0	0	0	174	2
Hainan	934	0	3	0	168	5
Guizhou	3600	0	0	0	146	2
Tianjin	1560	0	11	0	136	3
Shanxi	3718	0	0	0	133	0
Liaoning	4359	1	11	0	122	1
Hong Kong SAR	745	1	0	0	95	2
Jilin	2704	0	6	0	93	1
Gansu	2637	0	0	0	91	2
Xinjiang	2487	0	0	0	76	3
Inner Mongolia	2534	0	0	0	75	0
Ningxia	688	0	1	0	73	0
Taipei and environs	2359	5	0	0	39	1
Qinghai	603	0	0	0	18	0
Macao SAR	66	0	0	0	10	0
Xizang	344	0	0	0	1	0
Total	142823	579	132	35	79968	2873

Table 2. Countries, territories or areas outside China with reported laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths. Data as of 01 March 2020

Country	Total confirmed* cases (new)	Total deaths (new)	Transmission classification†	Days since last reported case
Western Pacific Region
Republic of Korea	3736 (586)	18 (1)	Local transmission	0
Japan	239 (9)	5 (0)	Local transmission	0
Singapore	102 (4)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
Australia	25 (1)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
Malaysia	24 (0)	0 (0)	Local transmission	2
Viet Nam	16 (0)	0 (0)	Local transmission	17
Philippines	3 (0)	1 (0)	Imported cases only	26
Cambodia	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	34
New Zealand	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	2
European Region
Italy	1128 (240)	29 (8)	Local transmission	0
France	100 (43)	2 (0)	Local transmission	0
Germany	57 (0)	0 (0)	Local transmission	1
Spain	45 (13)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
The United Kingdom	23 (3)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
Switzerland	18 (8)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Norway	15 (9)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
Sweden	13 (1)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Austria	10 (5)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Croatia	7 (2)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
Israel	7 (2)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Netherlands	7 (5)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
Azerbaijan	3 (3)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Denmark	3 (1)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Georgia	3 (1)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Greece	3 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	2
Romania	3 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	1
Finland	2 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	4
Russian Federation	2 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	30
Belarus	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	2
Belgium	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	26
Estonia	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	3
Ireland	1 (1)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Lithuania	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	2
Monaco	1 (1)	0 (0)	Under investigation	0
North Macedonia	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	4
San Marino	1 (0)	0 (0)	Local transmission	1
South-East Asia Region
Thailand	42 (0)	0 (0)	Local transmission	1
India	3 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	27
Nepal	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	48
Sri Lanka	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	34
Eastern Mediterranean Region
Iran (Islamic Republic of)	593 (205)	43 (9)	Local transmission	0
Kuwait	45 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	1
Bahrain	40 (2)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
United Arab Emirates	19 (0)	0 (0)	Local transmission	1
Iraq	13 (5)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0

Oman	6 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	2
Pakistan	4 (2)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Lebanon	2 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	4
Afghanistan	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	6
Egypt	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	16
Qatar	1 (1)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Region of the Americas
United States of America	62 (0)	0 (0)	Local transmission	1
Canada	19 (5)	0 (0)	Local transmission	0
Brazil	2 (1)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
Mexico	2 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	1
Ecuador	1 (1)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	0
African Region
Algeria	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	5
Nigeria	1 (0)	0 (0)	Imported cases only	2
Subtotal for all regions	6464 (1160)	98 (18)
International conveyance (Diamond Princess) ‡	705 (0)	6 (0)	Local transmission	4
Grand total§	7169 (1160)	104 (18)

*Case classifications are based on WHO case definitions for COVID-19.

†Transmission classification is based on WHO analysis of available official data and may be subject to reclassification as additional data become available. Countries/territories/areas experiencing multiple types of transmission are classified in the highest category for which there is evidence; they may be removed from a given category if interruption of transmission can be demonstrated. It should be noted that even within categories, different countries/territories/areas may have differing degrees of transmission as indicated by the differing numbers of cases and other factors. Not all locations within a given country/territory/area are equally affected.

Terms:

• Community transmission is evidenced by the inability to relate confirmed cases through chains of transmission for a large number of cases, or by increasing positive tests through routine screening of sentinel samples.

• Local transmission indicates locations where the source of infection is within the reporting location.

• Imported cases only indicates locations where all cases have been acquired outside the location of reporting.

• Under investigation indicates locations where type of transmission has not been determined for any cases.

• Interrupted transmission indicates locations where interruption of transmission has been demonstrated (details to be determined)

‡Cases identified on a cruise ship currently in Japanese territorial waters.

§278 female/393 male/6498 unknown. 31 healthcare workers (7 female/12 male/ 12 unknown).

[elmaslıefendi]

But those are chinese numbers. As we all now, that's super trustworthy. Good journalism.

[Ed Mack]

People have to be careful of what they read and how things are spun, from either political party.  Even some of the "TV" doctors like to spin things for effect.  These numbers are changing so fast, it's hard to keep up.  One can find good news or bad news in every new release of information.  While the internet can be a great source of information, it is also a great source of misinformation.

[Pseudoty]

1 hour ago, Ed Mack said:

33% case fatality rate?  You better check you numbers....

Per CNN..Italy's Civil Protection Authority reported the country now has 1,694 confirmed coronavirus cases, up from 1,128 confirmed cases on Saturday. Thirty-four people have died. About 2%...

While I don't want to jinx anything, they said today that that patient zero was probably infecting people since mid January in Washington.  A layman would figure there should be hundreds of cases in that area causing major issues as we speak.  Maybe there will be, but also maybe it has had minimal impact on many people.  The first responders had no idea that there was Coronavirus involved I believe.

33% in the elderly with comorbidity 

Washington numbers are early but 9 cases and 5 deaths = 55%

the average length of stay in the hospital for those that do recover is 24 days 

[Ed Mack]

1 minute ago, Pseudoty said:

33% in the elderly with comorbidity 

Washington numbers are early but 9 cases and 5 deaths = 55%

the average length of stay in the hospital for those that do recover is 24 days 

Sorry, I really wasn't sure what you were referring to.  This virus sucks, any way you put it.  My parents are prime candidates for this virus.  We will have to go buy food for them if it hits NJ hard.  

[CosmicSpeed]

Our Chinese owner is making is daughter leave the US earlier than planned because of all this virus talk.

I have a work trip scheduled to San Diego in 2 weeks.

We have a scheduled trip to Disney World with our two daughters at the end of the month.

March is shaping up to be one to remember. 

[Ed Mack]

1 minute ago, CosmicSpeed said:

Our Chinese owner is making is daughter leave the US earlier than planned because of all this virus talk.

I have a work trip scheduled to San Diego in 2 weeks.

We have a scheduled trip to Disney World with our two daughters at the end of the month.

March is shaping up to be one to remember. 

I love Disney World, but it's a cesspool.  On a good note, lines will be shorter!

[Darth_Raichu]

5 minutes ago, Ed Mack said:

I love Disney World, but it's a cesspool.  On a good note, lines will be shorter!

Universal Orlando is the better park anyway

[Sauromosis]

I have to weigh in here, we found Universal far more filthy than Disney. By the end of the days we were there, the bathrooms were completely trashed and some of us got food poisoning from eating in the Harry Potter area. The bathrooms in Disney stayed clean all day.

[Phil B]

33% in the elderly with comorbidity 
Washington numbers are early but 9 cases and 5 deaths = 55%
the average length of stay in the hospital for those that do recover is 24 days 

This all ignores the fact that due to lack of testing kits and prioritization calls, and due to the fact that many people will not have major symptoms while infected, the percentages are way off. Yes 5 dead out of 9, but who says there aren't 1000+ people walking around in WA with this virus who don't even get tested?

[Ed Mack]

6 minutes ago, Phil B said:

26 minutes ago, Pseudoty said:

33% in the elderly with comorbidity 
Washington numbers are early but 9 cases and 5 deaths = 55%
the average length of stay in the hospital for those that do recover is 24 days 

This all ignores the fact that due to lack of testing kits and prioritization calls, and due to the fact that many people will not have major symptoms while infected, the percentages are way off. Yes 5 dead out of 9, but who says there aren't 1000+ people walking around in WA with this virus who don't even get tested?

This is pretty much what I think as well.  Nursing and retirement homes will be devastated by this.  If this is a minor nuisance to many, they won't go to the doctor or hospital. There could be hundreds, if not thousands, walking around with this, with some already over it.  

[oneknightr]

32 minutes ago, CosmicSpeed said:

Our Chinese owner is making is daughter leave the US earlier than planned because of all this virus talk.

I have a work trip scheduled to San Diego in 2 weeks.

We have a scheduled trip to Disney World with our two daughters at the end of the month.

March is shaping up to be one to remember. 

We're going on a trans-Atlantic Disney cruise in early May from Miami to Barcelona. After the cruise, we're staying in Rome for about a week. We booked this trip (cruise, flights, airbnb, etc) months ago and are now a bit worried. It's two months away but I don't think this'll blow over by then.

Edited March 2, 2020 by oneknightr

[Mark Twain]

We're going on a trans-Atlantic Disney cruise in early May from Miami to Barcelona. After the cruise, we're staying in Rome for about a week. We booked this trip (cruise, flights, airbnb, etc) months ago and are now a bit worried. It's two months away but I don't think this'll blow over by then.

Did you get Traveler’s insurance? If not I’d contact them and pay for the option to cancel. Wife is supposed to go on a Viking river cruise in July. Not really holding out hope that’s gonna happen.

[fuzzy_bricks]

[crayxlp]

That large "blue" table is pretty outdated.. we are a small country, but even US do deserve a spot in that with 4 cases announced today!

[MusiKyle]

5 hours ago, oneknightr said:

We're going on a trans-Atlantic Disney cruise in early May from Miami to Barcelona. After the cruise, we're staying in Rome for about a week. We booked this trip (cruise, flights, airbnb, etc) months ago and are now a bit worried. It's two months away but I don't think this'll blow over by then.

I told my wife ANY trip planned now until this blows over we'll get travelers insurance on.  We were hoping to fly to Alaska in June but tickets aren't "cheap" (to us) and with the added risk should come added risk mitigation.  I usually don't buy the insurance.  I'm not so much worried about whether or not we get sick necessarily (I've mentioned before I probably will at some point) but there's just various disruptions around because of all this, warranted or not.

[river41]

54 minutes ago, MusiKyle said:

I told my wife ANY trip planned now until this blows over we'll get travelers insurance on.  We were hoping to fly to Alaska in June but tickets aren't "cheap" (to us) and with the added risk should come added risk mitigation.  I usually don't buy the insurance.  I'm not so much worried about whether or not we get sick necessarily (I've mentioned before I probably will at some point) but there's just various disruptions around because of all this, warranted or not.

alot of policies exclude pandemics make sure you read the fine print 

Edited March 3, 2020 by river41
clarity

[brickolodon]

COVID-19 claims 6 lives in Washington state, US preps for pandemic? Dow very volatile today and Fed Reserve first emergency rate cut today....  plus Super Tuesday and Nashville. Strange that no cases for COVID19 in Vegas with 40+ mil ppl visiting per year...yet

[Ed Mack]

34 minutes ago, brickolodon said:

COVID-19 claims 6 lives in Washington state, US preps for pandemic? Dow very volatile today and Fed Reserve first emergency rate cut today....  plus Super Tuesday and Nashville. Strange that no cases for COVID19 in Vegas with 40+ mil ppl visiting per year...yet

Let's face it, there are most likely cases in Vegas and LA and NYC and many more cities.  Many are blown off as the common cold or flu.  The Washington situation targeted the most susceptible of situations.  

[Thanos75]

I live in New Orleans and we just had Mardi Gras and all that it brings . Normally my family and me get out of town for the week. This year I'm stuck working a turn-around for two months so my family went to Disney without me. Very surprised they haven't announced any cases here yet. Maybe beads, boobs and booze is the cure.

[Ed Mack]

1 minute ago, Thanos75 said:

I live in New Orleans and we just had Mardi Gras and all that it brings . Normally my family and me get out of town for the week. This year I'm stuck working a turn-around for two months so my family went to Disney without me. Very surprised they haven't announced any cases here yet. Maybe beads, boobs and booze is the cure.

Alcohol does kill bacteria and viruses.

[fuzzy_bricks]

1 minute ago, Thanos75 said:

Maybe beads, boobs and booze is the cure.

This MF spittin. 

[Mark Twain]

We won't likely know for several weeks or even until early April about the extent of its spread. Most companies are still in the design phase for test kits and it isn't really feasible for them to ramp up production in such a small span of time. The NYT has a solid report on it: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/03/world/coronavirus-news.html

[$20 on joe vs dan]

relatively speaking, the low fatality rate, suggests that the disease is not that bad,  but the panic is real.

I am hoping that what we learned from the world to the neighborhood reactions will help to ward off a future Pandemic where it's possibly more Ebola-like instead of flu-like. 

Much to learn form all this...kind of like a "near-miss" analysis.

[KvHulk]