Val-E Posted December 29, 2015 Posted December 29, 2015 10 minutes ago, maestro said: How much do you think these Red 5s will reach? (Dr Evil 1m USD meme placeholder) 4 Quote
GiliusThunderhead Posted December 29, 2015 Posted December 29, 2015 OK maybe i need to put my glasses on but is it the DS2 thats pictured on the front of the box on the LHS? I know someone was flying red 5 at the battle of endor (and ended up crashing into a SD) but I thought this was supposed to be Lukes one (although now looking at it wondering how it would hold up with the red plates replaced with blue ones to give a more TFA style). 8 minutes ago, maestro said: How much do you think these Red 5s will reach? I'm shocked at what they're going for at the moment. Might be one of those temp initial spikes when a set retires but given the performance of 9493 maybe not. Quote
legone3 Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 This is one of the few that I think demand may exceed supply in the next 2 to 3 years. Its heavily hoarded but the demand may be high enough to absorb it. Quote
mudcatsfan Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 13 minutes ago, legone3 said: This is one of the few that I think demand may exceed supply in the next 2 to 3 years. Its heavily hoarded but the demand may be high enough to absorb it. As high as the perceived 'hoarding' of this set may be, i still know that when i went into several (3 different) Lego stores in early 2015, the sets had seal codes from July/August of 2013. This thing didn't sell for a lonnnnnnnnng time for many reasons. Perceived high price to brick ratio, no exclusive figs, rehash, etc. I still think this thing is UNDER hoarded relative to other modern sets, but we'll find out soon enough. 3 Quote
justapilgrim Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 There will be tons sold under $300 and opened, with the QF crowd high fiving each other for $50 each or less take home 2 Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 10 hours ago, Lego_Yoda said: OK maybe i need to put my glasses on but is it the DS2 thats pictured on the front of the box on the LHS? I know someone was flying red 5 at the battle of endor (and ended up crashing into a SD) but I thought this was supposed to be Lukes one (although now looking at it wondering how it would hold up with the red plates replaced with blue ones to give a more TFA style). I'm shocked at what they're going for at the moment. Might be one of those temp initial spikes when a set retires but given the performance of 9493 maybe not. The thing with a stampede is you only need 2 people to buy the same set within an hour and everyone else (including resellers who missed number) go nuts cos they think they are going to run out. Later, you only need a day to pass with no sales and the whole thing stops. Now we are at the typical RRP+ 50% impasse where no one is buying and sellers are looking at each other. The UK auctions that end this weekend will tell us more. Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Just noticed that prices are 400 euros or more at every EU Amazon except Italy where there are 4 separate sellers under 300 with 1 in stock each. Prices probably won´t rise on Ebay much until the Italian sellers are out or raise their prices. In Gemany, 1 seller at 500 euros so I guess that´s why people were spooked. Bricklink minimum is now 270 but we don´t know what shipping costs the sellers add and being Scandinavian it is likely to be expensive. Quote
Secret Squirrel Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Got to love some ebayers out there, £205.00 plus £98.00 postage? 1 Quote
terse Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 My Lego store had 7 on the shelf yesterday. I picked one up, but not sure if I should be picking up more. Quote
teohwp85 Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 28 minutes ago, terse said: My Lego store had 7 on the shelf yesterday. I picked one up, but not sure if I should be picking up more. Where's your store? 2 Quote
Roy vd M. Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Last week I saw five Red 5's at TRU in the city of Paris (Quatre Saisons shopping mall), discounted to 200 euro. Perhaps one or two are still there. Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 16 minutes ago, teohwp85 said: Where's your store? Nice try! 7 minutes ago, Roy vd M. said: Last week I saw five Red 5's at TRU in the city of Paris (Quatre Saisons shopping mall), discounted to 200 euro. Perhaps one or two are still there. I´d give them 20 minutes not to be! 1 Quote
longshot Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 I can still get these near me. Thinking about getting a few more. Already have 6 though............ 1 Quote
RightDwigt Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 6 minutes ago, longshot said: I can still get these near me. Thinking about getting a few more. Already have 6 though............ Sounds good... contemplating the same myself. Question for all, what is a seal code and should i NOT buy a certain box if it doesn't have the right code? Thanks! Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 9 minutes ago, baublitz said: Sounds good... contemplating the same myself. Question for all, what is a seal code and should i NOT buy a certain box if it doesn't have the right code? Thanks! Only if there is a known defect or missing parts. Seal codes show when the product was packed just like food. Quote
Huskers1236 Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 5 minutes ago, baublitz said: Sounds good... contemplating the same myself. Question for all, what is a seal code and should i NOT buy a certain box if it doesn't have the right code? Thanks! Seal code is the 4 digit code on the tape seal. Example you would see is 42R5. This code means 42nd month of year "5" or 2015. The 3rd digit, the letter, is the code for the factory it was made in. In the US, we get R codes for sets made in Mexico. Many Europeans will see S codes. There are really no good or bad seal codes unless there is a known issue with the set, say early runs of Wall-E. 10240 has not had any quality issues that I know of. I don't see why anybody is hesitant to buy this set unless they were sitting on a mountain of them. In the short time they have been unavailable online, they have already jumped to the $260-$280 range depending on the sale. Probably higher on Amazon. This is with it still being available on brick and mortar stores. When it gone for good, it will take off. Is it a $1000 set? No, probably not, but it will do well. Quote
stephen_rockefeller Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 1 hour ago, Roy vd M. said: Last week I saw five Red 5's at TRU in the city of Paris (Quatre Saisons shopping mall), discounted to 200 euro. Perhaps one or two are still there. They should have been gone the second you laid eyes on them......... Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 23 minutes ago, stephen_rockefeller said: They should have been gone the second you laid eyes on them......... Compound the original mistake by advertising where they were - sounds like a generous strategy to me! Quote
Roy vd M. Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Lego SH told me I couldn't have more than one. Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Yesterday´s impasse is over - sales picking up again and new minimum is 350 euros. Quote
GiliusThunderhead Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Ok I am going to ask for some secrets here but does anyone have any methods to determine/make an educated guess at who the buyers of these (on ebay say) are? I'm interested if its end users who were sitting on the fence on this one and only decided to pull their finger out now its retired or a few people buying up all the stock. Just trying to educate myself on how much of this is SW and lego fans buying to build and how much is speculation for further appreciation. Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Right now it´s a lot of both and that´s all I am saying! Quote
inversion Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Based on Town Hall a considerable part of it is investors jumping last minute. Quote
Val-E Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 Yeah, when they drive the price up too fast and then everyone else who bought under RRP decides to take profits the price will stick. What we don´t know is the magic number but I´d say 450 euros will do it then boom. Quote
GhostDad Posted December 30, 2015 Posted December 30, 2015 That's what happened with AA, and it never recovered. So far it appears to be the exception however, at least in terms of exclusives that I invested in. Other 2014 retirees went up and pretty much stayed there. The 2015 retirees, in contrast, have mostly just gone nowhere... Quote
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