mfortunek Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 Time to sell these might be right now (like literally right now, this afternoon) - lots of people will be receiving their BF orders from SAH in the next couple days and it could cause the online supply to spike and some undercutting to occur. It's hard to imagine these being worth more in the future (next Christmas for example) than they are in this moment, but who knows... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loghamel Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 8 minutes ago, mfortunek said: Time to sell these might be right now (like literally right now, this afternoon) - lots of people will be receiving their BF orders from SAH in the next couple days and it could cause the online supply to spike and some undercutting to occur. It's hard to imagine these being worth more in the future (next Christmas for example) than they are in this moment, but who knows... Just applying Supply/Demand economics, and with LEGO never making this set again, what, exactly, is your reasoning for this not to appreciate for next Christmas? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justapilgrim Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 People are selling them on amazon "backordered" a lot of them listed them for $59 or less (haven't been paying attention) and they sell out instantly when they get the buy box on accident. This is truly amazing to watch. I am a little worried about selling for too high and then getting stuck with a return Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcdfan Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 Yes. Everyone should sell all they have now! Go, go, go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfortunek Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 4 minutes ago, Loghamel said: Just applying Supply/Demand economics, and with LEGO never making this set again, what, exactly, is your reasoning for this not to appreciate for next Christmas? Maybe next Christmas there will be some new super-cutesy Holiday set for everyone to drool over. Right now buyers are motivated by the hype and the panic, thinking it's going to get even more expensive if they don't. Act. Right. This. Second. That's what is driving the price higher and higher every single day. Once that wears off, logic and sanity will begin to seep back in to their brains and they will set a collective price limit they're willing to pay for a little 300 piece set. (I'll be honest I don't really know what's going to happen and I'm literally making this up as I type. Does it sound convincing?) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loghamel Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 4 minutes ago, mfortunek said: Maybe next Christmas there will be some new super-cutesy Holiday set for everyone to drool over. Right now buyers are motivated by the hype and the panic, thinking it's going to get even more expensive if they don't. Act. Right. This. Second. That's what is driving the price higher and higher every single day. Once that wears off, logic and sanity will begin to seep back in to their brains and they will set a collective price limit they're willing to pay for a little 300 piece set. (I'll be honest I don't really know what's going to happen and I'm literally making this up as I type. Does it sound convincing?) Yeah, good explanation. At least with this one, I would think there wouldn't be another production run next year, being that "2015 Limited Edition" is embossed on the box. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarleyMoose Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 I just listed a GBH and the HT for $120 shipped on EBay. Someone will bite eventually... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lazuli16 Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 9 minutes ago, Loghamel said: Yeah, good explanation. At least with this one, I would think there wouldn't be another production run next year, being that "2015 Limited Edition" is embossed on the box. After this years Winter Toy Shop fiasco, it wouldn't surprise me if TLG decided to make the GBH the newest addition to the winter village theme in 2016. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frank Brickowski Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 3 hours ago, mfortunek said: Maybe next Christmas there will be some new super-cutesy Holiday set for everyone to drool over. Right now buyers are motivated by the hype and the panic, thinking it's going to get even more expensive if they don't. Act. Right. This. Second. That's what is driving the price higher and higher every single day. Once that wears off, logic and sanity will begin to seep back in to their brains and they will set a collective price limit they're willing to pay for a little 300 piece set. (I'll be honest I don't really know what's going to happen and I'm literally making this up as I type. Does it sound convincing?) You mean the average buyer? Then you might be overestimating many people very much... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricketycricket Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 3 hours ago, mfortunek said: Maybe next Christmas there will be some new super-cutesy Holiday set for everyone to drool over. Right now buyers are motivated by the hype and the panic, thinking it's going to get even more expensive if they don't. Act. Right. This. Second. That's what is driving the price higher and higher every single day. Once that wears off, logic and sanity will begin to seep back in to their brains and they will set a collective price limit they're willing to pay for a little 300 piece set. (I'll be honest I don't really know what's going to happen and I'm literally making this up as I type. Does it sound convincing?) I think you're right that the price will settle and is already at an unsustainable level. It was free with $99 purchase, so even though that opportunity is now gone, there is clearly a price ceiling below that for most buyers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Jedi Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 3 hours ago, lazuli16 said: After this years Winter Toy Shop fiasco, it wouldn't surprise me if TLG decided to make the GBH the newest addition to the winter village theme in 2016. I'm betting next year we get that Sweet Shoppe that was rumored this year. It goes perfect with all the candy running through GBH and HT. Now, if the GBH (and HT) end up pairing beautifully with the theoretical release next year, the price on these will only continue to rise...unless, of course, TLG re-releases the GBH promo next year, but this time with a slightly reworked roof and a sign out front that says "Gingerbread House." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcdfan Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 Good thing people didn't have to spend their money on 10249 since they already had 10199. GBH took care of their annual "fix". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpinemaps Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 Good thing people didn't have to spend their money on 10249 since they already had 10199. GBH took care of their annual "fix". What concerns me is the average person thinking that GBH *is* this year's Christmas set and wanting to return it because it's not (e.g., it's so much smaller) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogerWilco Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 7 minutes ago, Alpinemaps said: What concerns me is the average person thinking that GBH *is* this year's Christmas set and wanting to return it because it's not (e.g., it's so much smaller) I had one return request so far for the Holiday Train. No reason given yet other than it was "no longer wanted". Nothing for GBH, but I am concerned, as well. The price causes people to think they are getting more than they are.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpinemaps Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 7 minutes ago, Alpinemaps said: What concerns me is the average person thinking that GBH *is* this year's Christmas set and wanting to return it because it's not (e.g., it's so much smaller) I had one return request so far for the Holiday Train. No reason given yet other than it was "no longer wanted". Nothing for GBH, but I am concerned, as well. The price causes people to think they are getting more than they are.... Yes, that's exactly what I was trying to say. Just not saying it well. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffrey_Dollars Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 51 minutes ago, bricketycricket said: I think you're right that the price will settle and is already at an unsustainable level. It was free with $99 purchase, so even though that opportunity is now gone, there is clearly a price ceiling below that for most buyers. opportunity not quite gone yet, i just snagged 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubz Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 12 minutes ago, Jeffrey_Dollars said: opportunity not quite gone yet, i just snagged 2 how? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KShine Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 If the past is any example - The demand for getting the hot, new, limited edition Christmas set will wear off. It will still have good value, but I think it has overshot a bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffrey_Dollars Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 55 minutes ago, chubz said: how? local b&m lego store downtown chicago, cant believe they haven't sold out yet... they also had bulls players signing autographs at the adidas store at the same mall which made the trip there extra sweet for me 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frank Brickowski Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 4 hours ago, Jeffrey_Dollars said: local b&m lego store downtown chicago, cant believe they haven't sold out yet... they also had bulls players signing autographs at the adidas store at the same mall which made the trip there extra sweet for me starting five guys or just some subs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffrey_Dollars Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 lol taj gibson and tony snell.... both off the bench but taj is a premium player in the league and is always a candidate for the 6th man of the year award Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zskid00 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 (edited) Four more GBHs arrived today from my Shop at Home Cyber Monday orders. I should have a couple more inbound. This promo set has exceeded all expectations. In 5 years of doing this I don't ever remember a holiday promo performing this well. I now realize I should have ordered more. Edited December 7, 2015 by zskid00 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
exciter1 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 18 minutes ago, zskid00 said: Four more GBHs arrived today from my Shop at Home Cyber Monday orders. I should have a couple more inbound. This promo set has exceeded all expectations. In 5 years of doing this I don't ever remember a holiday promo performing this well. I now realize I should have ordered more. No doubt, and I sold several too low ($55 each, but still). Getting too early had the opposite effect, compared to usual promos. I'm just glad they're still flowing in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frank Brickowski Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 I am ok with the 26 GH I have now + 2 more coming shortly. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post HappyHawkeye Posted December 7, 2015 Popular Post Share Posted December 7, 2015 26 minutes ago, rfish said: I am ok with the 26 GH I have now + 2 more coming shortly. 27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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