76023 - The Tumbler

[smsklpl]

Patient is what we need.

[Val-E]

3 hours ago, smsklpl said:

Patient is what we need.

The patient died.

[iahawks550]

When all the people who can't afford to sit on this for a couple of years thin out their stock, this set will be a winner. There is too big a market and with no remake, it's just going to take some time.

[ChristopherJB]

1 hour ago, iahawks550 said:

When all the people who can't afford to sit on this for a couple of years thin out their stock, this set will be a winner. There is too big a market and with no remake, it's just going to take some time.

That's what they all say. How's the sopwith camel going with thinning out stock? And Tower of Orthanc?

[Bold-Arrow]

6 minutes ago, ChristopherJB said:

That's what they all say. How's the sopwith camel going with thinning out stock? And Tower of Orthanc?

I sold two sopwith at 220$ ea.. that's 30$ jump from last year .. nothing to write home about but it did tick up

 

 

[cladner]

14 minutes ago, ChristopherJB said:

That's what they all say. How's the sopwith camel going with thinning out stock? And Tower of Orthanc?

you mean Turd of Orthanc.  it looks like a giant turd made out of bricks.

[Guest TabbyBoy]

44 minutes ago, ChristopherJB said:

That's what they all say. How's the sopwith camel going with thinning out stock? And Tower of Orthanc?

In the UK, the Sopwith Camel appeared to peak last year with £120 being around the highest sold prices on eBay. I'm glad I got rid of mine then as they're back down towards £100 again. I'm happy with my £39.99 buy-in but, would be pretty damn upset now if I paid RRP (£79.99). The Tower of Orthanc is yet another missed window!

Guys... Don't get greedy as you'll only kick yourself WHEN (not if) prices start to drop again. Red 5 was a prime example and Rogue One hasn't appeared to help prices as everybody has been listing them cheap out of desperation (myself included).

Edited December 19, 2016 by TabbyBoy

[Val-E]

What  am I going to say that hasn´t been said already? The never remade argument falls down considering this was one fo the first sets to be cloned by the Chinese. Depending on how the court case goes for TLG, they may bring it back one day and that will bite the long term hoarders on the bum as it did with 10188.

Nothing is safe from remakes or depreciation.

That said, this set has been rather more robust in terms of maintaining residuals than many other 2015 sets. Just wish it was a but more robust of a build too!

[iahawks550]

38 minutes ago, ChristopherJB said:

That's what they all say. How's the sopwith camel going with thinning out stock? And Tower of Orthanc?

Sopwith Camel is an item that is generic and has been done before (3451). It has limited appeal and is not licensed to any theme.

TOO is licensed and has been gone for a year. It also left at the same time a ton of other investors bought up supply. It is licensed and it's theme has a strong, long time following. I put this into the same area as the Tumbler. Let supply dry up and then we can discuss whether it was worthwhile or not.

[Guest TabbyBoy]

4 minutes ago, iahawks550 said:

Sopwith Camel is an item that is generic and has been done before (3451). It has limited appeal and is not licensed to any theme.

TOO is licensed and has been gone for a year. It also left at the same time a ton of other investors bought up supply. It is licensed and it's theme has a strong, long time following. I put this into the same area as the Tumbler. Let supply dry up and then we can discuss whether it was worthwhile or not.

The Sopwith Camel could peak again in 3 days time (22DEC16) as this will mark the 100th anniversary of its supposedly first flight. Make sure you mention...

"100th Anniversary of first Sopwith Camel flight - 22nd December 2106"

... in any listings as this could gather additional interest from vintage aircraft, Royal Air Force & WW1 enthusiasts. I have 1 left in my collection but, I would let it go for £150+ 

[stackables]

21 minutes ago, Val-E said:

What  am I going to say that hasn´t been said already? The never remade argument falls down considering this was one fo the first sets to be cloned by the Chinese. Depending on how the court case goes for TLG, they may bring it back one day and that will bite the long term hoarders on the bum as it did with 10188.

Nothing is safe from remakes or depreciation.

That said, this set has been rather more robust in terms of maintaining residuals than many other 2015 sets. Just wish it was a but more robust of a build too!

Long term hoarders with 10188?  Was there any time to allow it to appreciate after retirement?  I don't think too many resellers expected a remake as quickly as it came. 

[Val-E]

10188 had stronger post EOL growth here than Tumbler.

[GhostDad]

11 hours ago, Squashmike10 said:

Ewok village still listed on lego UK, how u managing to shift at profit?? 

I live in the US of A, where the A stands for Awesome.  Check the US eBay listings if you don't believe me.  Note to Europe: less socialism = better profits.

[GhostDad]

4 hours ago, cladner said:

you mean Turd of Orthanc.  it looks like a giant turd made out of bricks.

Nonsense.  It's impossible to create a vertical turd outside of a zero-G environment.  ToO is more like a giant black termite mound.

[Val-E]

[labfreak7]

you mean Turd of Orthanc.  it looks like a giant turd made out of bricks.

I have two and love them- also loved the movie trilogy. Got them at 50% off I think. No regerts

[Martae54]

We have a NON Lego discussion forum. Meanwhile The tumbler is VERY nice set.. every Batman/Lego fan should have one. 

[ChristopherJB]

The tumbler is tumbling so far in prices.

[BarryZola]

Down to 85 sellers now on UK Ebay when searching for 76023. Many of these are people selling individual figs etc, and others setting prices ridiculously (sensibly) high. The sold prices have crept up 'slightly' for New in Box. Just keeping an eye on it, that's all

...and the point is, I think the herd is being slightly thinned over the months.

Edited January 3, 2017 by BarryZola

[smsklpl]

If it breaks out $400 USD in US amazon....

fingercross

[Val-E]

6 hours ago, BarryZola said:

Down to 85 sellers now on UK Ebay when searching for 76023. Many of these are people selling individual figs etc, and others setting prices ridiculously (sensibly) high. The sold prices have crept up 'slightly' for New in Box. Just keeping an eye on it, that's all

...and the point is, I think the herd is being slightly thinned over the months.

Compare that with 21118 Mine or 75054 - 2 vulgar playsets that could be found everywhere but are kicking all the 2015 retired exclusives´s asses in terms of ROI.

[Anomander]

38 new Turdlers sold in €'s over the last 6 months on Bricklink. Only 211 currently listed. At that rate just over two and a half years to clear that lot excluding those who tire of waiting and list theirs.

US looks better 65 sold in the last 6 months and 158 currently listed. Under a year and a half to clear!

UK - 3 sold in 6 months with 18 currently listed. 3 year wait for Eng-erland & co. to soak those up.

[Phil B]

7 minutes ago, Anomander said:

38 new Turdlers sold in €'s over the last 6 months on Bricklink. Only 211 currently listed. At that rate just over two and a half years to clear that lot excluding those who tire of waiting and list theirs.

US looks better 65 sold in the last 6 months and 158 currently listed. Under a year and a half to clear!

UK - 3 sold in 6 months with 18 currently listed. 3 year wait for Eng-erland & co. to soak those up.

Are those "listed" numbers the number of sellers or the total sum of available copies of this set?

[Anomander]

3 minutes ago, Phil B said:

Are those "listed" numbers the number of sellers or the total sum of available copies of this set?

https://www.bricklink.com/v2/catalog/catalogitem.page?S=76023-1#T=P

As I understand it they are the number of sets listed. I am open to correction, however.

Why "listed" and not listed?

[Phil B]

15 minutes ago, Anomander said:

https://www.bricklink.com/v2/catalog/catalogitem.page?S=76023-1#T=P

As I understand it they are the number of sets listed. I am open to correction, however.

Why "listed" and not listed?

Ah sorry, my mind skipped over the BL part. I thought this was EBay. Nevermind.